Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction: Ducks' top power play and shaky crease test McDavid's Oilers
Anaheim scores like a contender and defends like a lottery team, and the market has pushed this total to 7.0 at Rogers Place.
| Line | Edmonton Oilers -192 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 7 |
- Expect a track meet: both teams finish at elite rates, Anaheim allows goals by the bushel, and Edmonton owns the league's top offense.
- Anaheim's power play, first in the league at 38.0%, against an Oilers penalty kill sitting 22nd at 73.9%.
- Edmonton is a -180 moneyline favorite, and the total has climbed from 6.5 to 7.0 since our feed first saw the game.
Goals for everyone
The Ducks knocked Edmonton out of the 2026 playoffs in the first round, and nothing about their game since suggests they've learned to keep the puck out of their own net. Anaheim scores 3.6 goals a night, 6th in the league, and gives up 3.8, 30th of 32. Now the Ducks walk into Rogers Place against the highest-scoring team in hockey.
Neither club wins on volume. What both do is finish. Anaheim converts 14.5% of its shots, 2nd in the league, while Edmonton leads everyone at 16.1%. The difference sits at the other end: the Ducks' team save percentage (all goals allowed per shot against) ranks 31st. Their recent games show it, from a 7-6 loss to Buffalo to a 5-4 win in Vancouver on Tuesday. Early-season shooting rates this high rarely hold, but nobody has told these two teams yet.
Uncertainty in both creases
Neither team has confirmed a starter. Tristan Jarry is the probable starter for Edmonton, carrying a .903 save percentage and a 2.57 goals-against average. The Oilers are thin behind him: Devon Levi and Frederik Andersen remain on injured reserve, and journeyman Matt Tomkins started Sunday's 4-1 win over the Rangers.
Lukas Dostal is listed as Anaheim's probable starter, but his .872 mark offers little comfort, and Joel Quenneville publicly turned to Laurent Brossoit on Nov. 1 after a defensive collapse. Whoever starts for the Ducks faces a lineup led by Connor McDavid, who has 40 points in 16 games.
Special teams tilt the ice
Anaheim's power play (power-play goals per opportunity) is the league's best at 38.0%, and Edmonton's penalty kill ranks 22nd. The catch for the Ducks is discipline. They are shorthanded 3.93 times a game, 30th in the league, and they hand those chances to an Oilers power play that ranks 3rd.
Watch the first period, too. Edmonton allows just 0.44 first-period goals a game, best in the league, while Anaheim scores 1.2 in opening frames, 4th.
Who's missing
Anaheim remains without Troy Terry (hip), who was getting close to a return as of an Oct. 31 update but stayed on injured reserve as of Nov. 3. A.J. Greer went on injured reserve Monday, and Ryan Poehling is out with a knee sprain. That leaves the scoring to Leo Carlsson, whose 22 points lead the team, and Cutter Gauthier, who has 10 goals.
Edmonton lost Isaac Howard for a couple of weeks with a knee injury, with the Nov. 3 update putting his return at around eight games. Zach Hyman was on injured reserve with a neck injury as of an Oct. 28 report. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is back and productive, and Leon Draisaitl leads the Oilers with 13 goals.
What the market says
Books make Edmonton a -180 favorite, with Anaheim at +153 and the Oilers laying 1.5 goals on the puck line. Edmonton has covered that line 11 times in 16 games, and it already beat the Ducks 5-2 in Anaheim on Oct. 7. The bigger move is on the total, which rose from 6.5 to 7.0 since our feed first recorded it. That move asks two hot finishing teams to keep it up against a goalie situation in Anaheim that hasn't settled.
Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers line movement and odds
| Book | Ducks ML | Oilers ML | Ducks spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 | +1.5 (-150) | o7 (-105) |
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 | +1.5 (-148) | o6.5 (-155) |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 | +1.5 (-155) | o6.5 (-145) |
| Fanatics | +160 | -195 | +1.5 (-150) | o6.5 (-150) |
| FanDuel | +158 | -192 | +1.5 (-154) | o6.5 (-154) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -190 | +1.5 (-145) | o6.5 (-145) |
| Caesars | +165 | -200 | +1.5 (-145) | o7 (-111) |
Key players
- Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers): McDavid has 40 points, including 31 assists, through 16 games this season.
- Leon Draisaitl (Edmonton Oilers): Draisaitl leads the team with 13 goals on 57 shots this season.
- Evan Bouchard (Edmonton Oilers): Bouchard has 28 points and a +23 rating while logging 26 minutes a night this season.
- Tristan Jarry (Edmonton Oilers): The probable starter owns a .903 save percentage and a 2.57 goals-against average this season.
- Leo Carlsson (Anaheim Ducks): Carlsson leads Anaheim with 22 points, 17 of them assists, in 15 games this season.
- Cutter Gauthier (Anaheim Ducks): Gauthier has a team-high 10 goals on 59 shots this season.
- Beckett Sennecke (Anaheim Ducks): Sennecke has 8 goals, converting 22.2% of his shots this season.
- Lukas Dostal (Anaheim Ducks): Listed as the probable starter, Dostal carries a .872 save percentage and a 3.56 goals-against average this season.
Numbers that matter
| Ducks power play | 38.0% | First in the league, facing an Edmonton penalty kill that ranks 22nd. |
|---|---|---|
| Ducks goals allowed per game | 3.8 | Ranks 30th of 32, against an Oilers offense that leads the league. |
| Oilers shooting % | 16.1% | Best in the league, and Anaheim's team save percentage ranks 31st. |
| Total | 7.0 | Up from 6.5 when our feed first saw the game. |
| Oilers first-period goals allowed | 0.44 | Best in the league, against a Ducks team that ranks 4th in first-period scoring. |
Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers: quick answers
What is the over/under for Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers?
The total is 7 goals.
When is Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers?
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers?
No: Anaheim Ducks has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).