South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans prediction: SC State's interior scoring runs into USC Upstate's shot-blockers
Last season South Carolina State could barely finish inside the arc, and USC Upstate's defense was built to make that worse.
| Spread | South Carolina Upstate -3.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 148.5 |
- Upstate's defense, a top-100 unit last season, should squeeze an SC State offense that ranked near the bottom of Division I.
- SC State's drives against Upstate's rim protection: the Spartans blocked 12.3% of opponent twos last season, 43rd nationally.
- No line yet. Last season's adjusted net ratings separate them by 67 spots: Upstate 291st, SC State 358th.
Where SC State has to score
Every number below comes from last season, since neither team has played yet. Treat them as a starting point, not a forecast. Both rosters changed over the summer. SC State's roster lists newcomers from Mercyhurst, Spring Hill College, Ellsworth CC and Spartanburg Methodist, plus four freshmen, among them Clayton Everett Jr. and Ja'Caiden Cone.
Still, the shape of last season is hard to ignore. SC State made just 44.9% of its two-point shots, 356th of 365 teams. It didn't make up for that from deep, either. The Bulldogs took threes on only 32.9% of their shots, 319th nationally. Their effective field goal percentage, which counts a made three as 1.5 field goals, sat at 46.8%, 350th.
Upstate's defense was the strong half of a 13-19 team. It allowed 104.2 points per 100 possessions, 81st nationally. It held opponents to 48.6% inside the arc, 65th, and its shot-blocking ranked 43rd. SC State was the bigger team, averaging 78.7 inches in minutes-weighted height to Upstate's 76.5. Even with that edge, it couldn't turn size into easy baskets.
South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans line movement and odds
| Book | Bulldogs ML | Spartans ML | Bulldogs spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -185 | +3.5 (-115) | o148.5 (-115) |
| BetRivers | +143 | -182 | +3.5 (-113) | o148.5 (-112) |
| DraftKings | +150 | -180 | +3.5 (-110) | o148.5 (-110) |
| ESPN BET | +150 | -175 | +3.5 (-110) | o148.5 (-110) |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 | +3.5 (-110) | o148.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +146 | -178 | +3.5 (-106) | o148.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +145 | -180 | +3.5 (-110) | o148.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | +150 | -178 | +3.5 (-110) | o148.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans
On the Kalshi moneyline: South Carolina St Bulldogs: 61% of bets, 61% of the money; South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 39% of bets, 39% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -3.5: 45% of bets, 9% of the money; South Carolina St Bulldogs +3.5: 55% of bets, 91% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 147.5: 87% of bets, 95% of the money; Under 147.5: 13% of bets, 5% of the money.
South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans: quick answers
Who is favored in South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?
South Carolina Upstate is favored by 3.5 points (South Carolina Upstate -3.5).
What is the over/under for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?
The total is 148.5 points.
When is South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?
Friday, November 6, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET.
Has the line moved for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?
Yes: South Carolina St Bulldogs opened +7.5 and is now +3.5, and the total is still 148.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on South Carolina St Bulldogs vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans?
On the Kalshi moneyline: South Carolina St Bulldogs: 61% of bets, 61% of the money; South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 39% of bets, 39% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -3.5: 45% of bets, 9% of the money; South Carolina St Bulldogs +3.5: 55% of bets, 91% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 147.5: 87% of bets, 95% of the money; Under 147.5: 13% of bets, 5% of the money.