Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack prediction: Edmead and NC State's shooters test Presbyterian's open perimeter
A transfer-built Wolfpack takes half its shots from deep, and Presbyterian has yet to guard the arc, while the Blue Hose's free-throw game runs into a defense that rarely fouls.
NC State Wolfpack covered the closing spread (Presbyterian Blue Hose +18.5). The game went over the closing total of 150.5.
| Spread | NC State -18.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 150.5 |
- NC State's shooters should find room early. Presbyterian's best hope is a slow, physical game that keeps the margin inside a big number.
- Presbyterian's drive-and-draw attack, Jaylen Peterson and Triston Wilson, against an NC State defense ranked 5th in opponent free throw rate.
- NC State is favored by 19.5 and hasn't moved. The Wolfpack are 0-2 against the spread, failing to cover big numbers against Campbell and ETSU.
The arc decides the margin
Justin Gainey's first NC State team is built to shoot. The Wolfpack take 50.9% of their field goal attempts from three, the 44th-highest rate in the country, and they are making 41.4% of them. Their effective field goal percentage, which counts a three as 1.5 makes, sits at 59.6%, 53rd nationally.
Presbyterian has not found an answer for that kind of team yet. Opponents are shooting 44.0% from deep against the Blue Hose, 354th of 364, and their opponent effective field goal percentage ranks 347th. Georgia scored 46 first-half points on them last week, and St. Thomas-Minnesota put up 87 in Presbyterian's own gym.
Preston Edmead, the Hofstra transfer, runs it. He had 20 points and 10 assists against ETSU and has made 5 of his 11 threes. Paul McNeil Jr. is the volume shooter: he hit 42.7% on 246 attempts last season and has fired 17 times in two games. There is little pressure to slow them down. Presbyterian forces turnovers on just 10.4% of possessions, 358th nationally, so NC State's loose ball security (235th in turnover rate) shouldn't cost much.
Presbyterian lives at the line
The Blue Hose have a real offense, and it starts inside. They are hitting 60.9% of their twos, 75th nationally, and getting to the line at a free throw rate (free throw attempts per shot) of 52.8%, 35th in Division I.
That is the strength NC State is best placed to take away. The Wolfpack's opponent free throw rate is 15.3%, 5th nationally. Their interior defense has been more forgiving: opponents are making 54.7% of their twos, 272nd. So Presbyterian's preseason All-Big South forwards and guards can likely score at the rim. Doing it without the free trips that pad their numbers is another matter.
Jaylen Peterson is shooting 65% from the field. Triston Wilson carries a 27.3% usage rate with 5.5 assists a game. Neither shoots much from three, and the team is making only 27.3% from deep, 292nd. If the free throws dry up, Presbyterian has little else to fall back on.
A Wolfpack built from scratch
NC State's roster returns just 28.1% of last season's minutes. The team that went 20-14 a year ago lost Darrion Williams, Quadir Copeland and Tre Holloman. Last season's final adjusted ratings, which put the Wolfpack 34th in net efficiency and Presbyterian 263rd, describe a different NC State.
The new group is spreading the ball. NC State assists on 69.6% of its made baskets, 19th nationally, and four players average double figures. Ven-Allen Lubin, one of two key returners, has made 4 of 5 threes after attempting only 11 all of last season.
The frontcourt is the question. Shah Hall, the junior college transfer listed with an illness this preseason, did not warm up or play against ETSU on Nov. 6. No explanation was shared, and his status for Tuesday is unclear.
Two slow teams, one big number
Neither team pushes the pace. NC State plays at 65.5 possessions per 40 minutes, 333rd nationally, and Presbyterian's 67.8 ranks 283rd. Fewer possessions make a 19.5-point margin harder to reach, and both NC State wins fell short of the spread. NC State trailed ETSU by 1 at halftime before winning 77-63.
Presbyterian covered as a 24.25-point underdog at Georgia, losing 91-77. The total was first seen at 147.5 and hasn't moved. Both NC State games stayed under, and both Presbyterian games went over. The Blue Hose's porous defense pushes one way, and the shared slow tempo pushes the other.
The last meeting, in November 2024 in Raleigh, ended NC State 81, Presbyterian 72.
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack line movement and odds
| Book | Hose ML | Wolfpack ML | Hose spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1250 | -3000 | +18.5 (-110) | o150.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | +1300 | -10000 | +18.5 (-114) | o150.5 (-110) |
| DraftKings | +1700 | -4500 | +18.5 (-112) | o151.5 (-108) |
| ESPN BET | +1800 | -6000 | +18.5 (-115) | o150.5 (-115) |
| Fanatics | +1500 | -3000 | +18.5 (-110) | o151.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +1400 | -4000 | +17.5 (-102) | o149.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1300 | -10000 | +18.5 (-115) | o150.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | — | — | +18.5 (-110) | o152 (-110) |
Where the money is on Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack
On the Kalshi moneyline: Presbyterian Blue Hose: 36% of bets, 2% of the money; NC State Wolfpack: 64% of bets, 98% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: NC State Wolfpack -20.5: 53% of bets, 26% of the money; Presbyterian Blue Hose +20.5: 47% of bets, 74% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 149.5: 85% of bets, 95% of the money; Under 149.5: 15% of bets, 5% of the money.
Key players
- Preston Edmead (NC State): Leads the team at 15.0 points and 6.5 assists per game, with an offensive rating of 166.5.
- Paul McNeil Jr. (NC State): Shot 42.7% from three last season and has taken 17 threes through two games.
- Christian Hammond (NC State): Averages 13.5 points off the bench with a 67.5% effective field goal percentage.
- Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State): Shooting 83.3% from the field with 7.5 rebounds per game.
- Triston Wilson (Presbyterian): Averages 18.5 points and 5.5 assists while playing 35.0 minutes a night.
- Jaylen Peterson (Presbyterian): Scoring 17.0 points per game on 65% shooting, almost entirely inside the arc.
- Carl Parrish (Presbyterian): Scored 17 at Georgia with 3 of 8 from three after a 2-point opener.
- EJ Smith (Presbyterian): Has made 4 of 6 threes, including 18 points against St. Thomas-Minnesota.
Numbers that matter
| Presbyterian opponent 3-point % | 44.0% | Ranks 354th of 364, against an NC State team that takes half its shots from deep. |
|---|---|---|
| NC State 3-point attempt rate | 50.9% | The 44th-highest share in the country, made at a 41.4% clip. |
| Presbyterian free throw rate | 52.8% | 35th nationally, the engine of the Blue Hose offense. |
| NC State opponent free throw rate | 15.3% | 5th nationally, the most direct counter to Presbyterian's strength. |
| NC State returning minutes | 28.1% | Last season's ratings say little about this rebuilt roster. |
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack: quick answers
What was the final score of Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
Presbyterian Blue Hose 60, NC State Wolfpack 94 (final). NC State Wolfpack covered the closing spread (Presbyterian Blue Hose +18.5). The game went over the closing total of 150.5.
Who is favored in Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
NC State is favored by 18.5 points (NC State -18.5).
What is the over/under for Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
The total is 150.5 points.
When is Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
No: Presbyterian Blue Hose has stayed at +18.5, and the total moved from 145 to 150.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Presbyterian Blue Hose vs NC State Wolfpack?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Presbyterian Blue Hose: 36% of bets, 2% of the money; NC State Wolfpack: 64% of bets, 98% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: NC State Wolfpack -20.5: 53% of bets, 26% of the money; Presbyterian Blue Hose +20.5: 47% of bets, 74% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 149.5: 85% of bets, 95% of the money; Under 149.5: 15% of bets, 5% of the money.