Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats prediction: Creighton's turnover-hunting defense tests Kansas State's three-point barrage
Alan Huss has turned a passive Bluejays defense into a ball-hawking one, and Casey Alexander's rebuilt Wildcats shoot threes at one of the heaviest rates in the country.
Kansas St Wildcats covered the closing spread (Creighton Bluejays -3.5). The game went over the closing total of 159.5.
| Spread | Creighton -3.25 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 158.75 |
- Expect a choppy game in Manhattan where Creighton's pressure decides how many clean threes Kansas State gets up in front of its home crowd.
- Brandon Rechsteiner against Creighton's guards: he has hit 10 of 26 threes, and the Bluejays force turnovers on 28.7% of possessions.
- Creighton is a 3.5-point road favorite, up from 3, and the total rose to 158 even though both Creighton games went under.
Pressure on a loose handle
Two new head coaches open their first real test tonight, and the most striking early number belongs to Huss. Creighton is forcing turnovers on 28.7% of opponent possessions (turnover rate, turnovers per 100 possessions), 9th of 364 in Division I. Last season, under Greg McDermott, that rate ranked 347th. That's a new identity, not a tweak.
Kansas State is the kind of offense that pressure feeds on. The Wildcats are giving it away on 19.5% of their possessions, 253rd nationally, with a backcourt still learning to play together. BJ Davis, the San Diego State transfer, is averaging 3.0 steals a game and sets the tone at the point of attack.
The caveat is the competition. Creighton's two wins came against Kansas City and Le Moyne, teams rated 356th and 297th in adjusted net efficiency. Kansas State's backcourt is a different class of opponent.
Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats line movement and odds
| Book | Bluejays ML | Wildcats ML | Bluejays spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 | -3.5 (-105) | o159.5 (-105) |
| BetRivers | -180 | +143 | -3.5 (-110) | o159.5 (-107) |
| DraftKings | -175 | +135 | -3.5 (-110) | o159.5 (-115) |
| ESPN BET | -155 | +135 | -2.5 (-115) | o159.5 (-115) |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 | -3.5 (-105) | o159.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | -162 | +134 | -3.5 (-108) | o158.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +140 | -3.5 (-110) | o158.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | -165 | +140 | -3 (-110) | o159.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats
On the Kalshi moneyline: Creighton Bluejays: 66% of bets, 82% of the money; Kansas St Wildcats: 35% of bets, 18% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Creighton Bluejays -3.5: 73% of bets, 59% of the money; Kansas St Wildcats +3.5: 27% of bets, 41% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 158.5: 59% of bets, 80% of the money; Under 158.5: 41% of bets, 20% of the money.
Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats: quick answers
What was the final score of Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
Creighton Bluejays 82, Kansas St Wildcats 89 (final). Kansas St Wildcats covered the closing spread (Creighton Bluejays -3.5). The game went over the closing total of 159.5.
Who is favored in Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
Creighton is favored by 3.25 points (Creighton -3.25).
What is the over/under for Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
The total is 158.75 points.
When is Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
No: Creighton Bluejays has stayed at -3.5, and the total moved from 156.5 to 159.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Creighton Bluejays vs Kansas St Wildcats?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Creighton Bluejays: 66% of bets, 82% of the money; Kansas St Wildcats: 35% of bets, 18% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Creighton Bluejays -3.5: 73% of bets, 59% of the money; Kansas St Wildcats +3.5: 27% of bets, 41% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 158.5: 59% of bets, 80% of the money; Under 158.5: 41% of bets, 20% of the money.