Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans prediction: Troy's all-new Trojans are still searching for a jump shot
The Sun Belt's two-time tournament champion has almost nobody back, and a transfer-loaded LMU team that has shot it well arrives as a small road favorite.
Troy Trojans covered the closing spread (Loyola Marymount Lions -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 145.5.
| Spread | Loyola Marymount -1 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 145.5 |
- LMU should push the tempo and win the glass while Troy's newcomers keep hunting for a reliable shot.
- Troy's defensive rebounding against LMU's size is the matchup to watch. The Trojans rank 353rd in defensive rebound rate.
- LMU is a 1.5-point road favorite, and the total has slipped to 146.5. Troy is shooting 29.6% from three.
A champion's name, a stranger's roster
Troy has won the last two Sun Belt tournaments and has finished atop the league's regular-season standings in each of the last two years. It wants a third straight tournament title, a run no Sun Belt program has strung together since Western Kentucky. The team chasing it barely resembles the one that built the streak. First-year coach Adam Howard has three returnees and 12 newcomers, and players back from last season account for just 9.0% of last season's minutes.
The early results show it. Troy is 0-2 after a home loss to Massachusetts and a road loss at Florida State. Its offense has produced 92.8 points per 100 possessions, 319th in Division I. Its effective field goal percentage, which counts threes as 1.5 made baskets, sits at 44.5%. The Trojans still let it fly, but they're hitting 29.6% from deep. Because the roster turned over so completely, last season's Troy numbers say little about this group.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans line movement and odds
| Book | Lions ML | Trojans ML | Lions spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -118 | -102 | -1.5 (-102) | o145.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | -121 | -104 | +0.5 (-121) | o144.5 (-113) |
| DraftKings | -115 | -105 | -1.5 (+100) | o145.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 | -1.5 (+100) | o145.5 (-105) |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 | -1.5 (-110) | o145 (-110) |
| FanDuel | -111 | -108 | -1.5 (-102) | o145.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -120 | -105 | -1.5 (+100) | o144.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | -115 | -105 | -1 (-110) | o145.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans
On the Kalshi moneyline: Loyola Marymount Lions: 47% of bets, 24% of the money; Troy Trojans: 53% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Loyola Marymount Lions -1.5: 59% of bets, 26% of the money; Troy Trojans +1.5: 41% of bets, 74% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 146.5: 62% of bets, 42% of the money; Under 146.5: 39% of bets, 58% of the money.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans: quick answers
What was the final score of Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
Loyola Marymount Lions 69, Troy Trojans 74 (final). Troy Trojans covered the closing spread (Loyola Marymount Lions -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 145.5.
Who is favored in Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
Loyola Marymount is favored by 1 points (Loyola Marymount -1).
What is the over/under for Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
The total is 145.5 points.
When is Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
No: Loyola Marymount Lions has stayed at -1.5, and the total moved from 148.5 to 145.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Loyola Marymount Lions: 47% of bets, 24% of the money; Troy Trojans: 53% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Loyola Marymount Lions -1.5: 59% of bets, 26% of the money; Troy Trojans +1.5: 41% of bets, 74% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 146.5: 62% of bets, 42% of the money; Under 146.5: 39% of bets, 58% of the money.