NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 2,435 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 1192-1177-66 (50.3%)
Straight up: 1026-1401-8 (42.3%)
Over/under: 1212-1187-36 (50.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.15 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 585-525 (52.7%); 2013-2026: 607-652 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: JAX at BAL
- 2026-11-08: ATL vs CIN
- 2026-11-08: CLE at NO
- 2026-11-08: IND vs DAL
- 2026-11-08: CAR vs DEN
- 2026-11-08: NYG at PHI
- 2026-11-08: ARI at SEA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-11-4 | 68.6% |
| 2025 | 54-47 | 53.5% |
| 2024 | 43-47-1 | 47.8% |
| 2023 | 44-44-4 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 62-41-5 | 60.2% |
| 2021 | 43-52-1 | 45.3% |
| 2020 | 46-46 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 41-47-2 | 46.6% |
| 2018 | 42-46-2 | 47.7% |
| 2017 | 37-66-4 | 35.9% |
| 2016 | 36-49-3 | 42.4% |
| 2015 | 54-37-3 | 59.3% |
| 2014 | 48-56-3 | 46.2% |
| 2013 | 33-63-2 | 34.4% |
| 2012 | 52-39-2 | 57.1% |
| 2011 | 48-48-4 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 52-45-4 | 53.6% |
| 2009 | 47-39-3 | 54.7% |
| 2008 | 55-46-3 | 54.5% |
| 2007 | 46-42-2 | 52.3% |
| 2006 | 53-46-4 | 53.5% |
| 2005 | 38-37-1 | 50.7% |
| 2004 | 47-44 | 51.6% |
| 2003 | 48-33-3 | 59.3% |
| 2002 | 32-37-1 | 46.4% |
| 2001 | 32-33-2 | 49.2% |
| 2000 | 25-24-3 | 51.0% |
| 1999 | 10-12 | 45.5% |
By team
Arizona Cardinals · Atlanta Falcons · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills · Carolina Panthers · Chicago Bears · Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Dallas Cowboys · Denver Broncos · Detroit Lions · Green Bay Packers · Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Kansas City Chiefs · Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Chargers · Las Vegas Raiders · Miami Dolphins · Minnesota Vikings · New England Patriots · New Orleans Saints · New York Giants · New York Jets · Philadelphia Eagles · Pittsburgh Steelers · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tennessee Titans · Washington Commanders
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+?
1192-1177-66 against the spread (50.3%) in 2,435 team-games since 1999, 1026-1401-8 straight up and 1212-1187-36 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 585-525 (52.7%); 2013-2026: 607-652 (48.2%).