NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 85 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 39-44-2 (47.0%)
Straight up: 28-56-1 (33.3%)
Over/under: 41-42-2 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.2 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2002-2014: 22-19 (53.7%); 2015-2025: 17-25 (40.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2003 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Houston Texans?
39-44-2 against the spread (47.0%) in 85 team-games since 1999, 28-56-1 straight up and 41-42-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2002-2014: 22-19 (53.7%); 2015-2025: 17-25 (40.5%).