NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Miami Dolphins: ATS Record Since 1999

Revenge spots after a beating. 87 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 50-33-4 (60.2%)
Straight up: 44-43 (50.6%)
Over/under: 39-47-1 (45.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.26 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2013: 20-16 (55.6%); 2014-2026: 30-17 (63.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20261-1-150.0%
20251-150.0%
20242-0100.0%
20231-233.3%
20223-260.0%
20215-1-183.3%
20203-0100.0%
20193-175.0%
20181-150.0%
20171-4-120.0%
20163-0-1100.0%
20154-357.1%
20142-166.7%
20130-20.0%
20121-0100.0%
20113-175.0%
20101-233.3%
20092-166.7%
20082-340.0%
20071-233.3%
20060-10.0%
20050-20.0%
20043-175.0%
20033-0100.0%
20022-0100.0%
20011-150.0%
20001-0100.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Miami Dolphins?

50-33-4 against the spread (60.2%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 44-43 straight up and 39-47-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2000-2013: 20-16 (55.6%); 2014-2026: 30-17 (63.8%).

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