NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 81 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-43 (46.9%)
Straight up: 36-45 (44.4%)
Over/under: 39-42 (48.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.41 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 25-24 (51.0%); 2013-2026: 13-19 (40.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: ATL vs CIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Atlanta Falcons?
38-43 against the spread (46.9%) in 81 team-games since 1999, 36-45 straight up and 39-42 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 25-24 (51.0%); 2013-2026: 13-19 (40.6%).