NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999

Revenge spots after a beating. 67 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 36-29-2 (55.4%)
Straight up: 35-32 (52.2%)
Over/under: 32-34-1 (48.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.82 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 13-21 (38.2%); 2014-2026: 23-8 (74.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20263-0100.0%
20252-0100.0%
20242-0100.0%
20231-0100.0%
20222-0100.0%
20211-150.0%
20205-271.4%
20191-150.0%
20182-0100.0%
20170-10.0%
20160-10.0%
20153-0100.0%
20141-233.3%
20130-10.0%
20122-166.7%
20111-325.0%
20102-3-140.0%
20093-175.0%
20081-2-133.3%
20070-30.0%
20061-150.0%
20051-150.0%
20041-0100.0%
20020-20.0%
20011-233.3%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Denver Broncos?

36-29-2 against the spread (55.4%) in 67 team-games since 1999, 35-32 straight up and 32-34-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2013: 13-21 (38.2%); 2014-2026: 23-8 (74.2%).

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