NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 91 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-48-5 (44.2%)
Straight up: 30-61 (33.0%)
Over/under: 39-49-3 (44.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.23 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 15-17 (46.9%); 2013-2026: 23-31 (42.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2022 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2008 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2007 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Washington Commanders?
38-48-5 against the spread (44.2%) in 91 team-games since 1999, 30-61 straight up and 39-49-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 15-17 (46.9%); 2013-2026: 23-31 (42.6%).