NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: New England Patriots: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 43 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 26-14-3 (65.0%)
Straight up: 29-14 (67.4%)
Over/under: 20-23 (46.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 4.41 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 20 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2001-2015: 16-4 (80.0%); 2016-2026: 10-10 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the New England Patriots?
26-14-3 against the spread (65.0%) in 43 team-games since 1999, 29-14 straight up and 20-23 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 20 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2001-2015: 16-4 (80.0%); 2016-2026: 10-10 (50.0%).