NFL Lost the last meeting by 14+: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Revenge spots after a beating. 75 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 33-38-4 (46.5%)
Straight up: 30-45 (40.0%)
Over/under: 37-38 (49.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.85 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 19-21 (47.5%); 2013-2024: 14-17 (45.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL lost the last meeting by 14+ for the Buffalo Bills?
33-38-4 against the spread (46.5%) in 75 team-games since 1999, 30-45 straight up and 37-38 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 19-21 (47.5%); 2013-2024: 14-17 (45.2%).