Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks prediction: Portland State's rebuilt Vikings get their first real test in Seattle
The defending Big Sky champions return almost none of last season's minutes, and Seattle U's defense is the first Division I opponent to find out what that means.
| Spread | Seattle U -10.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 144.5 |
- Seattle U's experienced defense should squeeze a Portland State roster still learning itself, if the Redhawks stop giving the ball away.
- Watch Seattle's ball security against a Vikings lineup assembled almost entirely from newcomers, led early by Luke Kearney and Yaroslav Nikonov.
- Seattle is favored by 10.5, up from 9.5; Portland State returns just 3.7% of last season's minutes, the number that clouds every projection.
A champion in name only
Portland State hangs a Big Sky regular-season banner and keeps Jase Coburn, the league's Coach of the Year, on the bench. Almost nothing else carried over. The Vikings return 3.7% of last season's minutes, and a team preview counts 13 newcomers, including nine transfers and four international signees. The 20-11 team from last season is a weak guide to this one.
The opener told us little. Portland State beat Lewis & Clark, a non-Division I program, 111-59, with six players in double figures. Luke Kearney and KC Ibekwe each scored 17. That was a scrimmage-level opponent. Tonight is the first game where the rotation, the spacing and the late-clock decisions face real resistance.
Seattle's defense sets the terms
Seattle U has the continuity Portland State lacks, with 45.8% of last season's minutes back for Chris Victor's sixth season. That matters because last season's Redhawks won with defense. They allowed 97.8 points per 100 possessions, 11th of 365, and forced turnovers at a rate that also ranked 11th nationally.
Will Heimbrodt anchors it. He blocked 2.6 shots a game last season and added two more in the opener, a 74-73 loss at Hawai'i decided by a jumper with one second left. Hawai'i ranked 103rd in last season's adjusted ratings, so the Redhawks went toe to toe on the road with a solid opponent. A defense that pressures the ball and protects the rim is a rough first exam for guards who have played one game together.
Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks line movement and odds
| Book | Vikings ML | Redhawks ML | Vikings spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +450 | -625 | +10.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | +390 | -560 | +9.5 (-105) | o145.5 (-107) |
| DraftKings | +455 | -625 | +10.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | +475 | -750 | +10.5 (-110) | o143.5 (-120) |
| Fanatics | +430 | -600 | +10.5 (-110) | o145.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +450 | -630 | +10.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +400 | -550 | +9.5 (-105) | o144.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | +430 | -600 | +10.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks
On the Kalshi moneyline: Portland St Vikings: 71% of bets, 24% of the money; Seattle Redhawks: 29% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Seattle Redhawks -10.5: 52% of bets, 64% of the money; Portland St Vikings +10.5: 49% of bets, 36% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 24% of bets, 71% of the money; Under 144.5: 76% of bets, 30% of the money.
Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks stats (this season)
| Stat | Portland St Vikings | Seattle Redhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 104.4 (257th of 365) | 103.2 (277th of 365) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 102.5 (66th of 365) | 97.7 (24th of 365) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | 1.9 (146th of 365) | 5.5 (110th of 365) |
| Pace | 78.5 (39th of 364) | 74.5 (93rd of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 67.5% (11th of 363) | 56.5% (114th of 363) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 35.3% (18th of 363) | 56.9% (315th of 363) |
| Turnover rate | 17.7% (186th of 363) | 27.0% (350th of 363) |
| Offensive rebound % | 60.0% (2nd of 363) | 25.9% (294th of 363) |
| 3-point % | 39.3% (71st of 363) | 43.8% (34th of 363) |
| Free throw rate | 68.3% (3rd of 363) | 31.5% (225th of 363) |
Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks: quick answers
Who is favored in Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks?
Seattle U is favored by 10.5 points (Seattle U -10.5).
What is the over/under for Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks?
The total is 144.5 points.
When is Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.
Where is Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks played?
Redhawk Center, Seattle, WA.
Has the line moved for Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks?
Yes: Portland St Vikings opened +9.5 and is now +10.5, and the total moved from 143.5 to 144.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Portland St Vikings vs Seattle Redhawks?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Portland St Vikings: 71% of bets, 24% of the money; Seattle Redhawks: 29% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Seattle Redhawks -10.5: 52% of bets, 64% of the money; Portland St Vikings +10.5: 49% of bets, 36% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 24% of bets, 71% of the money; Under 144.5: 76% of bets, 30% of the money.