Golden State Warriors predictions and picks
Mako Bets writes a full preview of every Golden State Warriors game: the matchup, the players who decide it, injuries and the line.
Golden State Warriors this season
4-3 overall · 2-1 at home · 2-2 on the road · 5-2 against the spread · overs 4-3
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | vs LA Clippers | W 124-112 | -1.5 | covered | 220.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-30 | vs Los Angeles Lakers | W 112-95 | +2.5 | covered | 234.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | W 119-114 | +3.5 | covered | 227.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-26 | @ Denver Nuggets | W 134-114 | +6.5 | covered | 236.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Phoenix Suns | L 122-131 | +9.5 | covered | 221.5 (over) |
Key stats
| Stat | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency (pts per 100 poss) | 116.0 (5th of 30) |
| Defensive efficiency (pts allowed per 100 poss) | 113.2 (22nd of 30) |
| Net efficiency (per 100 poss) | 2.8 (12th of 30) |
| Pace (possessions per game, estimated) | 101.5 (25th of 30) |
| Effective FG% (3s count 1.5x) | 55.3% (8th of 30) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 56.0% (25th of 30) |
| Turnover rate (per 100 poss) | 16.7% (23rd of 30) |
| Offensive rebound % | 33.2% (1st of 30) |
| 3-point % | 40.0% (2nd of 30) |
| Points in the paint per game | 43.4 (22nd of 30) |
Key players
- Brandin Podziemski (G): 13.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.7 ast a game (2025-26)
- Draymond Green (F): 8.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.5 ast a game (2025-26)
- Moses Moody (G): 12.1 pts, 3.3 reb, 1.6 ast a game (2025-26)
- Brandon Williams (G): 13.0 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.9 ast a game (2025-26)
- Gui Santos (F): 9.2 pts, 3.9 reb, 2.3 ast a game (2025-26)
- Will Richard (G): 6.4 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.3 ast a game (2025-26)
Injuries
- Gui Santos: Out, Knee
- Draymond Green: Day-To-Day, Rest
- Stephen Curry: Day-To-Day, Rest
- Kristaps Porzingis: Out, Illness
- Moses Moody: Out, Knee
- Jimmy Butler III: Out, Knee
Earlier previews
- Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns prediction · Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · Golden State Warriors -2.5, total 227
Warriors' shooters get a crack at the NBA's worst 3-point defense - Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers prediction · Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · Golden State Warriors -2, total 220.5
Without Curry and Green, Warriors bet on the Clippers' loose handle - Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Los Angeles Lakers -3.25, total 234
Luka Doncic returns to a Warriors defense that can't guard the paint - Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves prediction · Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Minnesota Timberwolves -4, total 227.5
Minnesota loses Anthony Edwards but keeps the defense that wins games - Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets prediction · Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · Denver Nuggets -7.5, total 236.5
Jokic and the Nuggets eye a Warriors defense that can't guard inside - Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns prediction · Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Phoenix Suns -9.5, total 221.5
Phoenix opens at home without its bigs against no-rest Warriors - Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction · Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · Golden State Warriors -4.5, total 237.5
Warriors' thin home opener runs into Zach Edey and Memphis' paint attack - Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers prediction · Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · Los Angeles Lakers -6.5, total 233.5
Short-handed Warriors bring Curry, and little else, to Doncic's new Lakers