Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils prediction: Hellebuyck's new crease faces McDavid and the NHL's sharpest finishers
New Jersey drives the shot clock better than almost anyone, but Edmonton turns fewer chances into more goals, and Tuesday's game turns on which of those habits wins out.
| Line | New Jersey Devils -155 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6 |
- Expect the Devils to own the puck and outshoot Edmonton, while the Oilers wait for chances and convert them at a league-best rate.
- Edmonton's power play against New Jersey's penalty kill is the night's sharpest mismatch, softened by how rarely the Devils go shorthanded.
- The Devils are -155 favorites and the total has dropped from 6.5 to 6.0. Edmonton is still unbeaten on the road at 7-0-0.
Volume against finishing
Two very different routes to winning collide in Newark. The Devils control games the slow way: their 56.9% shot share (their share of all shots in their games) ranks 2nd of 32, built on 32.6 shots per game. The problem is what happens next. New Jersey converts just 10.5% of its shots, 23rd in the league.
Edmonton is the opposite. The Oilers sit 16th in shot share but score on 16.2% of their shots, the best rate in hockey, and that drives 4.2 goals per game, 2nd overall. A rate that high will cool eventually, and a 15-game sample is small. Still, with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl doing the shooting, the Oilers don't need many looks.
Both teams also start fast on defense. Edmonton allows 0.47 first-period goals per game, 1st in the league, and New Jersey ranks 2nd. A quiet opening period would fit both profiles.
Hellebuyck against Jarry
Connor Hellebuyck is the probable starter for New Jersey in what could be his home debut after the Devils acquired him from Winnipeg on Oct. 23. He has been sharp in two starts with a .923 save percentage, but that is a tiny sample. Jake Allen carried the load before him at .886.
Tristan Jarry is expected to start for Edmonton, though neither team has confirmed either goalie. Jarry has posted a .901 save percentage and a 2.53 goals-against average. Behind him, the depth is thin. Devon Levi and Frederik Andersen are both on injured reserve, which is why journeyman Matt Tomkins started Sunday at Madison Square Garden and stopped 27 of 28 shots.
A power play against a soft kill
Edmonton's power play scores on 32.7% of its chances (power-play goals per opportunity), 3rd in the league. New Jersey's penalty kill stops just 70.0% of opponents' chances, which ranks 26th.
The Devils' saving grace is discipline. They go shorthanded 2.14 times per game, the fewest in the NHL, and lead the league in fewest penalty minutes. Edmonton draws 3.47 power plays per game, 6th, so something has to bend. If the Oilers get three or four chances, this matchup decides the game.
At the other end, neither unit inspires much. Edmonton kills 75.6% (21st), while New Jersey's power play converts 16.7% (24th).
Stars and the injury list
McDavid enters on a season-opening 15-game point streak with 39 points. Draisaitl has 12 goals, and Evan Bouchard has 26 points from the blue line. Edmonton is missing depth, though. Zach Hyman is on injured reserve with a neck injury, Matt Savoie is on long-term IR, and Isaac Howard is day-to-day with his status for tonight unknown.
For New Jersey, Jack Hughes leads with 16 points on 54 shots. Arseny Gritsyuk scored twice in Friday's 5-2 win at Vegas and has 8 goals. Anthony Mantha left that game and remains day-to-day with no newer update, while Evan Rodrigues is questionable with an illness. Seamus Casey is out after a knee procedure.
Where the market sits
The books make New Jersey a -155 favorite, with Edmonton at +132 and the Devils at -1.5 on the puck line. The total opened in our feed at 6.5 and now sits at 6.0, a move toward a lower-scoring game.
That lean fits Edmonton's recent form. The shutout wins over Calgary and the Islanders and the 4-1 win at MSG all stayed under. History favors the hosts: the Devils have won the last four head-to-head games, including a 2-1 win in Edmonton last January. Against that, the Oilers are 10-5 on the puck line this season, and the Devils have the rest edge, with four days off to Edmonton's two.
Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils line movement and odds
| Book | Oilers ML | Devils ML | Oilers spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 | +1.5 (-190) | o6 (-118) |
| BetRivers | +125 | -150 | +1.5 (-215) | o6.5 (+102) |
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 | +1.5 (-192) | o6.5 (+110) |
| ESPN BET | +135 | -155 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (+115) |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 | +1.5 (-200) | o6.5 (+105) |
| FanDuel | +128 | -154 | +1.5 (-192) | o6.5 (+112) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -145 | +1.5 (-210) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Caesars | +130 | -154 | +1.5 (-190) | o6 (-118) |
Where the money is on Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils
On the Kalshi moneyline: Edmonton Oilers: 67% of bets, 87% of the money; New Jersey Devils: 33% of bets, 14% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 57% of bets, 59% of the money; Edmonton Oilers +1.5: 43% of bets, 41% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 75% of bets, 58% of the money; Under 5.5: 25% of bets, 42% of the money.
Proven Polymarket wallets. Moneyline: Edmonton Oilers (2 wallets, $486). Largest: Tattered-Screamer $479 on Edmonton Oilers, Hateful-Chord $7 on Edmonton Oilers.
Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils stats (this season)
| Stat | Edmonton Oilers | New Jersey Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-2-2 | 9-5-0 |
| Goals per game | 4.20 (2nd of 32) | 3.43 (10th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 2.87 (7th of 32) | 2.86 (6th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | 1.33 (2nd of 32) | 0.57 (6th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 25.9 (22nd of 32) | 32.6 (2nd of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 26.4 (12th of 32) | 24.7 (6th of 32) |
| Shot share | 49.6% (16th of 32) | 56.9% (2nd of 32) |
| Shooting % | 16.2% (1st of 32) | 10.5% (23rd of 32) |
| Team save % | 89.1% (7th of 32) | 88.4% (16th of 32) |
| Power play % | 32.7% (3rd of 32) | 16.7% (24th of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 75.6% (21st of 32) | 70.0% (26th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 48.8% (20th of 32) | 50.3% (16th of 32) |
Key players
- Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers): McDavid has 39 points in 15 games this season and has registered a point in every one.
- Leon Draisaitl (Edmonton Oilers): Draisaitl leads the Oilers with 12 goals on 53 shots this season.
- Evan Bouchard (Edmonton Oilers): Bouchard has 26 points and logs 25.9 minutes per game this season.
- Tristan Jarry (Edmonton Oilers): Jarry, the probable starter, has a .901 save percentage in 7 games this season.
- Jack Hughes (New Jersey Devils): Hughes leads the Devils with 16 points and 54 shots this season.
- Arseny Gritsyuk (New Jersey Devils): Gritsyuk has 8 goals this season, including two in Friday's win at Vegas.
- Connor Hellebuyck (New Jersey Devils): Hellebuyck, the expected starter, has a .923 save percentage in 2 games with New Jersey this season.
Numbers that matter
| Oilers shooting % | 16.2% | This is the best finishing rate in the league and the engine behind Edmonton's 4.2 goals per game. |
|---|---|---|
| Devils shot share | 56.9% | New Jersey ranks 2nd at controlling the shot count but only 23rd at converting those shots. |
| Oilers power play vs. Devils kill | 32.7% | Edmonton's 3rd-ranked power play faces a New Jersey penalty kill stuck at 70.0%, 26th in the league. |
| Devils moneyline | -155 | New Jersey is favored at home even though Edmonton is 7-0-0 on the road this season. |
Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils: quick answers
What is the over/under for Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils?
The total is 6 goals.
When is Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET.
Where is Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils played?
Prudential Center, Newark.
Has the line moved for Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils?
No: Edmonton Oilers has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Edmonton Oilers: 67% of bets, 87% of the money; New Jersey Devils: 33% of bets, 14% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 57% of bets, 59% of the money; Edmonton Oilers +1.5: 43% of bets, 41% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 75% of bets, 58% of the money; Under 5.5: 25% of bets, 42% of the money.
What are proven bettors on in Edmonton Oilers vs New Jersey Devils?
Proven Polymarket wallets, graded on 180 days of settled bets: Moneyline: Edmonton Oilers (2 wallets, $486). Largest: Tattered-Screamer $479 on Edmonton Oilers, Hateful-Chord $7 on Edmonton Oilers. A sharp side is a question, not a bet; copying proven wallets late lost money in our test.