Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues prediction: Red Wings' goalie question hangs over a duel of three-game skids
Detroit outshoots most of the league but can't finish, and the goalie it is expected to start has been the weaker of its two.
Detroit Red Wings covered the closing puck line (Detroit Red Wings +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 5.5.
| Line | St. Louis Blues -142 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 5.5 |
- Expect Detroit to win the shot count while St. Louis leans on Joel Hofer and a home record of 4-2-1.
- The crease: John Gibson, day-to-day with a lower-body injury, is the probable starter at .860; Daniil Tarasov sits at .919.
- St. Louis is a -141 favorite with the total at 5.5, unmoved since Monday; Detroit's 9.0% shooting, 31st, explains the price.
Two skids, one crease question
Both teams reach Enterprise Center on three-game losing streaks, and only one of them knows what it has in goal. Detroit's net comes down to a goalie nursing an injury and the backup who has outplayed him. That decision could swing this game more than anything the skaters do.
John Gibson is the probable starter, but he has been day-to-day with a lower-body injury, and the Red Wings haven't confirmed him. His season has been rough, with an .860 save percentage. Daniil Tarasov has posted a .919 mark across eight appearances. He made his second straight start Saturday and took the loss at Colorado.
St. Louis has a cleaner answer. Joel Hofer is expected to start after carrying most of the load, with a .919 save percentage and a 2.36 goals-against average. He was in net when the Blues won 5-4 in Detroit on Oct. 31.
Volume without finish
Detroit's shot numbers look like a contender's. The Red Wings own a 53.1% shot share (their share of all shots on goal in their games), which ranks 7th. The finishing is the problem: they score on 9.0% of their shots, 31st of 32.
The slump has deepened lately. Detroit has been outscored 10-3 during its current slide, capped by a shutout loss at Colorado on Saturday.
The Blues should give them chances. St. Louis allows 28.8 shots per game, 24th in the league. The Blues counter with finishers who need fewer looks, led by Jimmy Snuggerud and his team-high 9 goals. If Detroit's shooting luck turns, this is the kind of opponent that lets it.
Special teams, if they show up
The most lopsided matchup sits on Detroit's penalty kill (the share of opponent power plays it stops). The Red Wings kill just 69.0% of penalties, 28th in the league.
The catch is that this game may not feature many penalties. St. Louis rarely draws them, and it rarely takes them either: the Blues go shorthanded 2.65 times per game, 3rd fewest. When Detroit does get a power play, it runs into an 84.4% Blues penalty kill. Any St. Louis man advantage is a real edge, but it may only come once or twice.
Lineups in flux
Detroit is short-handed down the middle. Dylan Larkin, the former captain, is suspended, with a return listed for Saturday, and he had not been traded as of Monday. Marco Kasper (upper body) and Mason Appleton (undisclosed) remain on injured reserve. Head coach Todd McLellan has said both are expected back at some point on this road trip, and Appleton's return tonight is not confirmed. Defenseman Albert Johansson remains out, and Simon Edvinsson is still unsigned and out of the lineup.
The Blues get a boost on the back end. Logan Mailloux was activated from injured reserve after right-hand surgery and is set to make his season debut, projected on a pair with Philip Broberg. Torey Krug (ankle) is out for the season, and Dillon Dube, Tyler Tucker and Adam Jecho are also out. Calle Rosen was recalled from Springfield. Justin Faulk returns to St. Louis, now wearing a Red Wings sweater, on the Blues' Salute to Military Night.
What the market says
St. Louis is a -141 home favorite, with Detroit at +120. The puck line and the 5.5 total have not budged since the line first appeared Monday. The price leans on the Blues' play at home and Hofer's steadier season against Detroit's finishing woes and uncertain net. If Tarasov gets the call instead of Gibson, the Red Wings' case looks stronger than the number suggests.
Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues line movement and odds
| Book | Wings ML | Blues ML | Wings spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -145 | +1.5 (-220) | o5.5 (-135) |
| DraftKings | +120 | -142 | +1.5 (-218) | o5.5 (-125) |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 | +1.5 (-225) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 | +1.5 (-220) | o5.5 (-125) |
| FanDuel | +118 | -150 | +1.5 (-220) | o5.5 (-130) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -140 | +1.5 (-230) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Caesars | +117 | -145 | +1.5 (-225) | o5.5 (-124) |
Where the money is on Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues
On the Kalshi moneyline: Detroit Red Wings: 37% of bets, 28% of the money; St Louis Blues: 63% of bets, 73% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: St Louis Blues -1.5: 56% of bets, 69% of the money; Detroit Red Wings +1.5: 44% of bets, 31% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 68% of bets, 72% of the money; Under 5.5: 32% of bets, 28% of the money.
Key players
- John Gibson (Detroit Red Wings): Day-to-day with a lower-body injury, he carries an .860 save percentage and 3.46 goals-against average this season.
- Daniil Tarasov (Detroit Red Wings): He has posted a .919 save percentage and 2.1 goals-against average in eight games this season.
- Alex DeBrincat (Detroit Red Wings): He leads Detroit with 66 shots and has 16 points this season.
- Lucas Raymond (Detroit Red Wings): He shares the team scoring lead with 16 points, 10 of them assists, this season.
- Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues): He has a .919 save percentage and 2.36 goals-against average in 12 games this season.
- Jimmy Snuggerud (St. Louis Blues): He leads the Blues with 9 goals, scoring on 23.1% of his shots this season.
- Philip Broberg (St. Louis Blues): He leads St. Louis with 13 points while logging 24.6 minutes a night this season.
Numbers that matter
| Gibson save % | .860 | Detroit's probable starter has been well behind backup Daniil Tarasov's .919 this season. |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit shooting % | 9.0% | Ranks 31st of 32 despite a top-10 shot share, the heart of the Red Wings' scoring drought. |
| Detroit penalty kill | 69.0% | Ranks 28th, though the Blues draw few power plays. |
| Blues times shorthanded | 2.65 | Per game, 3rd fewest in the league, limiting Detroit's power-play chances. |
| Blues moneyline | -141 | St. Louis is the home favorite, with the line unmoved since Monday. |
Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues: quick answers
What was the final score of Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues?
Detroit Red Wings 2, St Louis Blues 3 (final). Detroit Red Wings covered the closing puck line (Detroit Red Wings +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 5.5.
What is the over/under for Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues?
The total is 5.5 goals.
When is Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues?
No: Detroit Red Wings has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 5.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Detroit Red Wings vs St Louis Blues?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Detroit Red Wings: 37% of bets, 28% of the money; St Louis Blues: 63% of bets, 73% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: St Louis Blues -1.5: 56% of bets, 69% of the money; Detroit Red Wings +1.5: 44% of bets, 31% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 68% of bets, 72% of the money; Under 5.5: 32% of bets, 28% of the money.