New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets prediction: Hellebuyck sits in Winnipeg, and Jake Allen inherits the spotlight
The Devils rested their star goalie for his homecoming, so this game turns on whether New Jersey's league-best shot volume can beat a shaky Jets crease before Allen's own numbers catch up with him.
Winnipeg Jets covered the closing puck line (New Jersey Devils -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | New Jersey Devils -145 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Expect New Jersey to control the puck and outshoot Winnipeg, with the Jets leaning on Kyle Connor's finishing and the power play to keep pace.
- Watch the goalies: Jake Allen's .881 against a Jets crease where Nico Daws is at .886 and Stuart Skinner at .883 this season.
- The Devils are -150 favorites, and the total has dropped to 6.0 from 6.5 even though New Jersey has gone over in 11 of 18 games.
A homecoming without the goalie
Connor Hellebuyck is back in Winnipeg for the first time since the trade that sent him to New Jersey, and he won't be in the crease. The Devils announced Sunday night that he won't start, and GM Sunny Mehta called it an organizational decision. Coach Sheldon Keefe said Tuesday's game would have been Hellebuyck's fourth in eight nights. He is not injured, and he is coming off his first shutout as a Devil in Sunday's win at Toronto.
Jets coach Scott Arniel called the decision a disappointment, saying Winnipeg wanted closure for the organization and its fans. That closure now waits for the rematch in Newark on Nov. 28. The trade's return is on the other bench tonight: Nico Daws, Dawson Mercer, the injured Nick Bjugstad, Alexander Command and two draft picks came to Winnipeg in the deal.
No safe answer in either crease
With Hellebuyck out, the Devils confirmed Jake Allen gets the net. Allen has a .881 save percentage and a 3.2 goals-against average in nine games, the weak link on a team that wins almost everywhere else.
Winnipeg hasn't confirmed its starter. Daws is listed as the probable starter, though Stuart Skinner started the Jets' recent games. Daws has a .886 save percentage this season, numbers he put up in six games for New Jersey before the trade. Skinner sits at .883 across 13 games. Neither option has stopped pucks well, and that is a problem against the opponent described below. A handful of games is a small sample for any goalie, but nothing in these numbers suggests a low-scoring night.
The shot volume problem
New Jersey fires 33.6 shots on goal per game, 1st of 32. Its shot share, the team's portion of all shots in its games, is 57.6%, 2nd in the league. The Devils aren't elite finishers, so they win by burying opponents in attempts rather than picking corners.
Jack Hughes drives it. He has 25 points and 73 shots in 18 games, and Arseny Gritsyuk has added eight goals on the right side. Winnipeg allows 28.6 shots per game, 23rd in the league, so the Jets' goalie is likely to be busy.
The Jets' answer is Kyle Connor, who has 13 goals. Winnipeg needs him because the team scores only 2.72 goals per game, 26th in the league.
Special teams tilt toward Winnipeg
New Jersey's one glaring flaw is the penalty kill, the share of opponent power plays it stops. At 67.6% it ranks 29th. The Devils hide it by staying out of the box: they are shorthanded fewer times per game than any team in the league.
Winnipeg's power play converts 21.8% of its chances, and it decided Sunday's game. Mark Scheifele scored on the man advantage with 1.6 seconds left to beat Tampa Bay after the Jets blew a three-goal third-period lead. That was their third straight win after nine straight losses.
Availability is unsettled on both sides. Josh Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury and missed Sunday's game. The latest report targeted Tuesday for his return, but nothing confirms he will play. The Devils list Anthony Mantha as out after he took a high stick against the Islanders, and they recalled Riley Tufte from Utica.
What the market is saying
New Jersey is a -150 favorite on the road, with the Jets at +126. The total sits at 6.0, down from 6.5 when our feed first saw the game. That move cuts against recent form. The Devils have gone over in 11 of 18 games, and each of Winnipeg's last five games went over.
The puck line is less friendly to New Jersey's backers. The Devils are 8-10 against it this season, and three of their five straight wins came by one goal in overtime or a shootout. Winnipeg also won both meetings last season, each by a 4-3 score.
New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets line movement and odds
| Book | Devils ML | Jets ML | Devils spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +110 | -1.5 (+165) | o6.5 (+105) |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 | -1.5 (+170) | o6.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | -150 | +120 | -1.5 (+165) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Fanatics | -150 | +115 | -1.5 (+150) | o5.5 (-140) |
| FanDuel | -150 | +118 | -1.5 (+165) | o5.5 (-140) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -150 | +115 | -1.5 (+160) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Caesars | -145 | +116 | -1.5 (+165) | o5.5 (-129) |
Where the money is on New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets
On the Kalshi moneyline: New Jersey Devils: 68% of bets, 73% of the money; Winnipeg Jets: 32% of bets, 28% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 59% of bets, 18% of the money; Winnipeg Jets +1.5: 42% of bets, 82% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 76% of bets, 83% of the money; Under 6.5: 24% of bets, 17% of the money.
Key players
- Jack Hughes (New Jersey Devils): Hughes has 25 points and 73 shots in 18 games this season.
- Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils): Allen has a .881 save percentage and a 3.2 goals-against average in nine games this season.
- Arseny Gritsyuk (New Jersey Devils): Gritsyuk has eight goals this season while shooting 18.2%.
- Kyle Connor (Winnipeg Jets): Connor leads the Jets with 13 goals on 73 shots this season.
- Mark Scheifele (Winnipeg Jets): Scheifele has 18 points this season, 14 of them assists, and scored Sunday's power-play winner.
- Nico Daws (Winnipeg Jets): Daws posted a .886 save percentage in six games for New Jersey this season before the trade.
Numbers that matter
| Devils shots per game | 33.6 | This leads the league, and the Jets allow the 23rd-most shots. |
|---|---|---|
| Devils penalty kill | 67.6% | It ranks 29th of 32, the opening for a Jets power play that won Sunday's game. |
| Jake Allen save % | .881 | The Devils' confirmed starter has been the weak spot on a 13-5-0 team. |
| Total movement | 6.0 | The total opened at 6.5 in our feed, even though both teams have trended toward overs. |
| Devils moneyline | -150 | New Jersey is favored on the road despite starting Allen instead of Hellebuyck. |
New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets: quick answers
What was the final score of New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets?
New Jersey Devils 2, Winnipeg Jets 4 (final). Winnipeg Jets covered the closing puck line (New Jersey Devils -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets?
No: New Jersey Devils has stayed at -1.5, and the total moved from 5.5 to 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets?
On the Kalshi moneyline: New Jersey Devils: 68% of bets, 73% of the money; Winnipeg Jets: 32% of bets, 28% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 59% of bets, 18% of the money; Winnipeg Jets +1.5: 42% of bets, 82% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 76% of bets, 83% of the money; Under 6.5: 24% of bets, 17% of the money.