Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings prediction: Nashville's power play takes aim at the Kings' struggling penalty kill
The Kings are home favorites, but a penalty kill near the bottom of the league gives a streaking Predators team its clearest path.
Nashville Predators covered the closing puck line (Nashville Predators +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | Los Angeles Kings -129 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6 |
- Nashville gets outshot but rarely beaten in net; if Los Angeles takes penalties, the Predators' special teams can tilt a close game.
- Nashville's 4th-ranked power play against a Kings penalty kill that sits 31st of 32 is the matchup that should decide this.
- The Kings are -140 favorites and the total has climbed from 5.5 to 6, even though Nashville's goaltending ranks 3rd in team save %.
Special teams tilt toward Nashville
The Kings are favored at home, yet they are 2-5-0 in Los Angeles. Nashville arrives on a four-game win streak. The gap that matters most sits on special teams.
The Predators' power play converts 29.8% of its chances (power-play goals per opportunity), 4th of 32. The Kings' penalty kill stops just 63.3% of opponents' power plays, 31st in the league. Every Los Angeles penalty is a real threat.
Steven Stamkos is the man to watch on the man advantage. He tied Saturday's win over St. Louis with a power-play goal, the latest in a season that already includes 10 goals. Nashville also guards its own end when shorthanded, with a penalty kill at 88.5%, so the Kings' power play gets few cheap chances to answer.
A goaltending gap in the crease
Juuse Saros is the probable starter for Nashville after making 25 saves in Saturday's win. He carries a .912 save percentage this season. Justus Annunen took Thursday's overtime win in Colorado, so Saros comes in rested.
Darcy Kuemper is expected to start for Los Angeles, though no team has confirmed its goalie. His season has been rough: an .878 save percentage and a 3.53 goals-against average. Neither starter is locked in until warmups, and that matters here, because the save percentage in each crease is the clearest split between these clubs.
Outshot, but not outplayed in net
Nashville's underlying volume is thin. The Predators control only 47.2% of the shots in their games (shot share), 27th in the league. They win anyway because their goaltending erases mistakes.
Los Angeles is the opposite. The Kings hold their own on shots but rank 26th in team save percentage. Artemi Panarin, with 18 points, keeps the offense moving, yet the Kings keep giving goals back at the other end. The pattern has held all season.
Who might be missing
The Kings remain without Kevin Fiala, who is on injured reserve after lower-leg surgery and is expected back Saturday, November 14. He skated on a regular line Monday. Mats Zuccarello was still out as of Saturday and was last listed week-to-week; one preview projects his return Tuesday, so his status is unsettled.
Defenseman Erik Gustafsson was called day-to-day Monday with an undisclosed injury. Without him, Joel Edmundson moved beside Brandt Clarke and Mikey Anderson rejoined Drew Doughty.
Nashville's Jonathan Marchessault has missed three straight games with a lower-body injury and is day-to-day. One preview expects him back Tuesday, but that is unconfirmed.
What the market is pricing
Books have Los Angeles at -140 on the moneyline and Nashville at +115. The Kings are -1.5 on the puck line, so the Predators get 1.5 goals.
The total opened in our feed at 5.5 and now sits at 6. That move fits a matchup where one penalty kill has struggled all year. Nashville has covered the puck line in 12 of 17 games, and it won two of three meetings with Los Angeles last season.
- Penalties: how often the Kings go to the box
- Morning updates on Kuemper, Saros and Marchessault
- Whether Stamkos gets power-play looks early
Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings line movement and odds
| Book | Predators ML | Kings ML | Predators spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -135 | +1.5 (-235) | o6.5 (+105) |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-238) | o6.5 (+110) |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -120 | +1.5 (-260) | o6.5 (+110) |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-240) | o6.5 (+110) |
| FanDuel | +104 | -125 | +1.5 (-235) | o6.5 (+110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -130 | +1.5 (-300) | o5.5 (-130) |
| Caesars | -105 | -118 | +1.5 (-240) | o6 (-125) |
Where the money is on Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings
On the Kalshi moneyline: Nashville Predators: 67% of bets, 77% of the money; Los Angeles Kings: 33% of bets, 23% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 53% of bets, 54% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 48% of bets, 46% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 46% of bets, 47% of the money; Under 6.5: 54% of bets, 53% of the money.
Key players
- Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators): Saros has a .912 save percentage and a 2.62 goals-against average across 12 games this season.
- Steven Stamkos (Nashville Predators): Stamkos leads Nashville with 10 goals this season on a 22.7% shooting rate.
- Roman Josi (Nashville Predators): Josi has driven the offense from the blue line with 20 points, 18 of them assists, this season.
- Filip Forsberg (Nashville Predators): Forsberg has 19 points in 17 games this season.
- Darcy Kuemper (Los Angeles Kings): Kuemper has an .878 save percentage and a 3.53 goals-against average this season.
- Artemi Panarin (Los Angeles Kings): Panarin leads the Kings with 18 points, including 8 goals, this season.
- Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings): Kempe has 13 points and 47 shots in 14 games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Predators power play | 29.8% | Ranks 4th of 32 and faces one of the league's weakest penalty kills. |
|---|---|---|
| Kings penalty kill | 63.3% | Ranks 31st of 32, the biggest weakness in this matchup. |
| Kings moneyline | -140 | Los Angeles is favored despite a 2-5-0 home record. |
| Total now | 6.0 | Up from 5.5 when our feed first saw the game. |
| Predators team save % | 90.3% | Ranks 3rd and offsets Nashville's 27th-ranked shot share. |
Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings: quick answers
What was the final score of Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings?
Nashville Predators 3, Los Angeles Kings 0 (final). Nashville Predators covered the closing puck line (Nashville Predators +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings?
The total is 6 goals.
When is Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings?
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings?
No: Nashville Predators has stayed at +1.5, and the total moved from 5.5 to 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Nashville Predators vs Los Angeles Kings?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Nashville Predators: 67% of bets, 77% of the money; Los Angeles Kings: 33% of bets, 23% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 53% of bets, 54% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 48% of bets, 46% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 46% of bets, 47% of the money; Under 6.5: 54% of bets, 53% of the money.