South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels prediction: Upstate's frozen jumpers get a test against Campbell's open 3-point line
Campbell finally plays at home under Jimmie Williams after three road losses, and its defense has let opponents shoot freely from deep against an Upstate team that has barely made a three.
Campbell Fighting Camels covered the closing spread (South Carolina Upstate Spartans +9.5). The game went over the closing total of 143.5.
| Spread | Campbell -9.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 143.5 |
- Expect a slow, scrappy game: Campbell ranks 348th of 364 in pace, and neither offense has made threes with any consistency.
- Upstate's shooters, making 26.3% from deep, face a Campbell defense allowing 42.9% from three, 357th nationally.
- Campbell is favored by 8.5 with a 147.5 total, both unchanged since our feed first saw the game; Campbell is 1-2 against the spread.
A home floor at last
Jimmie Williams has waited a long time for this one. Campbell's new coach, who went 29-3 at Division II Anderson last season, has spent the opening stretch on the road and lost at NC State, Western Michigan and East Tennessee State. Saturday is the first game for the 0-3 Camels at the Pope Convocation Center.
Upstate arrives 1-3, and its only win was a rout of non-Division I Bob Jones. The old Big South foes haven't met since 2022-23. Both rosters are nearly new: Campbell returns none of last season's minutes and Upstate brings back only 7.2%, so last season's team numbers say little about either side.
The 3-point line decides it
Campbell's perimeter defense has been the weak spot of its season. Opponents are making 42.9% of their threes against the Camels, 357th of 364 teams.
The problem for Upstate is that it might be the team least able to take advantage. The Spartans shoot 26.3% from deep, 333rd nationally. Derek Edmond has made just 3 of his 23 attempts. Jalyn Patterson is the one regular finding the range, and he has played starter-level minutes off the bench.
Campbell can't throw stones here. The Camels shoot 24.1% from three, and the paint won't be much easier. Upstate holds opponents to 39.2% on two-pointers, 29th in the country. Rashawn Inglemon is the exception to Campbell's shooting slump: he has made 11 of 29 threes. Lance Waddles shot 38.2% from deep at Omaha last season but has started cold in a Campbell uniform.
Second chances and free throws
Upstate's cleaner path to points runs through the glass and the foul line. The Spartans rebound 37.4% of their own misses, and Campbell's defensive rebounding ranks 339th. Upstate is also the bigger team by minutes-weighted height.
Upstate's free throw rate (free throw attempts per field goal attempt) ranks 89th. Campbell's ranks 359th, so the Camels almost never get cheap points at the line.
Campbell's counter is ball security. The Camels turn it over on just 13.2% of possessions, 34th nationally, and Upstate forces turnovers less often than most teams. If Campbell avoids live-ball mistakes, Upstate's rebounding edge has to carry more of the load.
Who carries the scoring
Inglemon is Campbell's offense. He averages 21.3 points and scored 20 in the ETSU loss, where Campbell trailed 53-28 in the second half after a tied first half. AJ Wright Jr. runs the show for nearly the whole game with 5.0 assists a night, but he rarely looks for his own shot.
Upstate spreads it around. David Tubek, a transfer from UTEP who played sparingly there, leads at 14.5 points and put up 27 and 11 at Coastal Carolina. Miles Webb, a transfer from Delaware State, went 8 of 8 for 22 points against Bob Jones and has yet to attempt a three this season.
What the market sees
The line has not moved off Campbell -8.5, with the Camels at -400 on the moneyline. The opponent-adjusted ratings back the gap: Campbell's adjusted net efficiency ranks 221st and Upstate's 297th. Schedule strength explains why the Camels rate higher despite the record. Their losses came to teams rated 32nd, 62nd and 117th, while Upstate lost to South Carolina State and to Coastal Carolina, which rates 354th.
The 147.5 total runs into Campbell's tempo and slow starts. The Camels score 26.3 first-half points a game, 351st nationally, and both teams have gone under the total in two of three lined games.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels line movement and odds
| Book | Spartans ML | Camels ML | Spartans spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +333 | -500 | +9.5 (-115) | o143.5 (-118) |
| BetRivers | +320 | -435 | +8.5 (-105) | o143.5 (-112) |
| DraftKings | +340 | -440 | +9.5 (-115) | o144.5 (-110) |
| ESPN BET | +360 | -500 | +9.5 (-105) | o144.5 (-110) |
| Fanatics | +340 | -450 | +9.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +365 | -490 | +9.5 (-110) | o144.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +325 | -425 | +8.5 (-105) | o143.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | +345 | -455 | +9 (-110) | o144.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels
On the Kalshi moneyline: South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 63% of bets, 19% of the money; Campbell Fighting Camels: 37% of bets, 81% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Campbell Fighting Camels -8.5: 69% of bets, 79% of the money; South Carolina Upstate Spartans +8.5: 31% of bets, 21% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 32% of bets, 62% of the money; Under 144.5: 68% of bets, 39% of the money.
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels stats (this season)
| Stat | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | Campbell Fighting Camels |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 100.9 (322nd of 364) | 108.6 (137th of 364) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 107.2 (190th of 364) | 110.4 (298th of 364) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | -6.3 (297th of 364) | -1.9 (221st of 364) |
| Pace | 69.4 (233rd of 364) | 63.2 (348th of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 48.7% (273rd of 364) | 44.5% (332nd of 364) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 46.4% (134th of 364) | 60.0% (354th of 364) |
| Turnover rate | 19.4% (262nd of 364) | 13.2% (34th of 364) |
| Offensive rebound % | 37.4% (107th of 364) | 26.1% (313th of 364) |
| 3-point % | 26.3% (333rd of 364) | 24.1% (350th of 364) |
| Free throw rate | 41.8% (88th of 364) | 19.8% (359th of 364) |
Key players
- Rashawn Inglemon (Campbell): Averages 21.3 points with a 56.1% effective field goal percentage, the only efficient shooter in Campbell's rotation.
- Lance Waddles (Campbell): Shot 38.2% from three at Omaha last season but is 4 of 21 from deep through three games at Campbell.
- AJ Wright Jr. (Campbell): Plays 37.0 minutes a game and dishes 5.0 assists while taking few shots.
- David Tubek (South Carolina Upstate): Averages 14.5 points with a team-high 29.2% usage rate, highlighted by 27 points at Coastal Carolina.
- Miles Webb (South Carolina Upstate): Shooting 75% from the floor, including 8 of 8 for 22 points against Bob Jones.
- Jalyn Patterson (South Carolina Upstate): Has made 7 of 15 threes, the best mark among Upstate's regulars.
Numbers that matter
| Campbell opponent 3-point % | 42.9% | Ranks 357th of 364, the clearest weakness on the floor Saturday. |
|---|---|---|
| Upstate 3-point % | 26.3% | Ranks 333rd, which blunts Upstate's best chance to exploit Campbell's perimeter defense. |
| Upstate offensive rebound % | 37.4% | Ranks 107th against a Campbell defensive rebounding rate that ranks 339th. |
| Campbell pace | 63.2 | Possessions per 40 minutes, 348th of 364, which pulls against a 147.5 total. |
| Spread | -8.5 | Campbell's number has not moved since our feed first recorded it. |
South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels: quick answers
What was the final score of South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
South Carolina Upstate Spartans 77, Campbell Fighting Camels 93 (final). Campbell Fighting Camels covered the closing spread (South Carolina Upstate Spartans +9.5). The game went over the closing total of 143.5.
Who is favored in South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
Campbell is favored by 9.5 points (Campbell -9.5).
What is the over/under for South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
The total is 143.5 points.
When is South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET.
Where is South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels played?
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center, Buies Creek, NC.
Has the line moved for South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
Yes: South Carolina Upstate Spartans opened +8.5 and is now +9.5, and the total moved from 148 to 144.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Campbell Fighting Camels?
On the Kalshi moneyline: South Carolina Upstate Spartans: 63% of bets, 19% of the money; Campbell Fighting Camels: 37% of bets, 81% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Campbell Fighting Camels -8.5: 69% of bets, 79% of the money; South Carolina Upstate Spartans +8.5: 31% of bets, 21% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 32% of bets, 62% of the money; Under 144.5: 68% of bets, 39% of the money.