Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction: Saint Peter's scoring drought heads into South Carolina's building
The Peacocks have struggled to make a shot all month, and a rebuilt Gamecocks team that controls the glass and the foul line has to cover a 22.5-point number.
South Carolina Gamecocks covered the closing spread (Saint Peter's Peacocks +21.5). The game went under the closing total of 126.5.
| Spread | South Carolina -21.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 126.5 |
- South Carolina should grind this out in a slow game, owning the defensive glass and the free-throw line against an offense ranked 352nd in efficiency.
- Juan Fernandez, at 19.0 points per game, against a Saint Peter's team hitting 34.1% of its twos.
- South Carolina is -22.5, up from -21.5 in our feed. The total fell to 126.5, and every Saint Peter's game has stayed under.
Nothing falls for the Peacocks
Saint Peter's scores 83.2 points per 100 possessions, 352nd in Division I. The inside game is the worst of it: the Peacocks make 34.1% of their two-point attempts. Seton Hall held them to 26% shooting in the opener, and Binghamton and NJIT, two teams near the bottom of last season's adjusted rankings, didn't make it much easier.
Bryce Eaton is the one reliable source of offense, and his 27.7% usage rate shows how much runs through him. The rest of the backcourt has gone cold. Elijah Perkins hasn't made a three, and Ken Walker is shooting 22.6% from the field.
That is a bad combination against Juan Fernandez, who blocks 2.5 shots a game. South Carolina also grabs 82.0% of opponents' misses, 12th in the country. Saint Peter's can't count on second chances to make up for the misses. One caveat: the Gamecocks built those numbers against Stetson and Southeast Missouri State.
The whistle could set the margin
South Carolina gets to the line constantly. Its free throw rate (free-throw attempts per field-goal attempt) is 51.9%, 29th nationally. Saint Peter's sends opponents to the line more than almost anyone: its opponent free throw rate ranks 361st of 364. The Peacocks ranked 358th in the same stat last season, so this looks like a habit rather than a slow start.
Free throws have hurt Saint Peter's at the other end too. Eaton is shooting 50% at the line, and he missed the front end of a one-and-one with four seconds left against NJIT before the Highlanders won it at the buzzer. In a game where the Peacocks need every point, a foul-heavy night also stops the clock and adds Gamecock possessions.
Two slow teams, a falling total
Neither team wants to run. Saint Peter's ranks 354th in pace and South Carolina 341st, so expect a game with few possessions. The Peacocks have also started slowly, scoring 21.0 first-half points per game.
The market has noticed. The total opened at 128.5 in our feed and has dropped to 126.5. All three Saint Peter's games have gone under, while South Carolina is 1-1 on totals. The free-throw gap is the main thing that could push the score up, because a parade to the line adds points without adding possessions.
A roster built in one summer
Only 10.3% of South Carolina's minutes from last season return, so last year's team numbers say little about this group. The rotation is mostly transfers: Kory Mincy from George Mason, Jakub Necas from Duquesne, Camden Heide from Texas and Aleksas Bieliauskas from Wisconsin. Bieliauskas strained a lower leg in the Campbell exhibition but has played both regular-season games.
The bench is thinner than usual. Lamont Paris said in late October that guard Grant Polk would miss about six weeks with a lower-leg injury, and Mathias Alessanco is out with a torn ACL. Nasir Hines is sitting out the fall semester over an eligibility issue. Freshman Marcus Johnson missed the opener with a head and nose injury, then returned and scored 10 against Southeast Missouri State.
Saint Peter's is 0-3 against the spread. It lost outright as a 7.5-point home favorite against Binghamton, and the spread here has moved further toward South Carolina since our feed first saw it at -21.5.
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks line movement and odds
| Book | Peacocks ML | Gamecocks ML | Peacocks spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1750 | -10000 | +21.5 (-115) | o126.5 (-105) |
| BetRivers | — | — | +21.5 (-115) | o126.5 (-113) |
| DraftKings | +1800 | -5000 | +21.5 (-118) | o126.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | +2500 | -10000 | +21.5 (-120) | o126.5 (-105) |
| Fanatics | +2500 | -7000 | +21 (-110) | o126 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +2000 | -7000 | +21.5 (-114) | o126.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | — | — | +21.5 (-115) | o126.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | — | — | +21 (-110) | o126 (-110) |
Where the money is on Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks
On the Kalshi moneyline: Saint Peter's Peacocks: 57% of bets, 5% of the money; South Carolina Gamecocks: 43% of bets, 95% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -21.5: 78% of bets, 24% of the money; Saint Peter's Peacocks +21.5: 22% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 127.5: 34% of bets, 76% of the money; Under 127.5: 66% of bets, 24% of the money.
Key players
- Bryce Eaton (Saint Peter's): He scores 15.3 points per game in 36.7 minutes and has made 8 of 20 threes.
- Xavier Thomas (Saint Peter's): He averages 10.7 points and shoots 35.3% from three but just 33.3% overall.
- Trey Patterson (Saint Peter's): The Rice transfer pulled down 12 rebounds against NJIT and carries an 85.7% effective field goal percentage.
- Juan Fernandez (South Carolina): He leads the team with 19.0 points per game on a 35% usage rate and blocks 2.5 shots a night.
- Kory Mincy (South Carolina): The George Mason transfer scored 19 against Southeast Missouri State and averages 3.0 steals.
- Jakub Necas (South Carolina): He has a 68.2% effective field goal percentage and has made 3 of 6 threes.
Numbers that matter
| Saint Peter's offense | 352nd | Saint Peter's ranks 352nd in offensive efficiency at 83.2 points per 100 possessions. |
|---|---|---|
| Gamecocks defensive rebounding | 82.0% | South Carolina's defensive rebound rate ranks 12th, which takes away second chances the Peacocks need. |
| Saint Peter's opponent free throw rate | 66.4% | It ranks 361st of 364, against a South Carolina offense that ranks 29th in getting to the line. |
| Spread | -22.5 | The line has moved toward South Carolina from -21.5 in our feed. |
| Total | 126.5 | It is down from 128.5, and Saint Peter's is 0-3 to the under. |
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks: quick answers
What was the final score of Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
Saint Peter's Peacocks 41, South Carolina Gamecocks 77 (final). South Carolina Gamecocks covered the closing spread (Saint Peter's Peacocks +21.5). The game went under the closing total of 126.5.
Who is favored in Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
South Carolina is favored by 21.5 points (South Carolina -21.5).
What is the over/under for Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
The total is 126.5 points.
When is Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
No: Saint Peter's Peacocks has stayed at +21.5, and the total moved from 128.5 to 126.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Saint Peter's Peacocks vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Saint Peter's Peacocks: 57% of bets, 5% of the money; South Carolina Gamecocks: 43% of bets, 95% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -21.5: 78% of bets, 24% of the money; Saint Peter's Peacocks +21.5: 22% of bets, 76% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 127.5: 34% of bets, 76% of the money; Under 127.5: 66% of bets, 24% of the money.