Rogers State vs Tulsa prediction: Tulsa starts rebuilding its shooting machine against Rogers State
A 30-8 team lost three big scorers, so this home opener at Reynolds Center is the first real look at who takes their shots.
- Rogers State is not a Division I team we hold data for, so the interest is in Tulsa's rotations and which newcomers earn shots.
- Watch Ade Popoola: the top returner hit 40.9% from three last season and now has to carry more of the scoring.
- No spread or total is posted yet. Last season Tulsa scored 85.1 points per game, 16th nationally, with a different cast.
Replacing three scorers
Tulsa went 30-8 last season and finished as NIT runner-up under Eric Konkol, now in his fifth season. That roster is largely gone. Players back this season account for 58.9% of last season's minutes but only 47.6% of its points, so last season's numbers are a weak guide to this team.
The departures hurt. Tylen Riley, now at Cincinnati, used 27.6% of possessions. Miles Barnstable posted a 136.7 offensive rating. Konkol pairs five returners with nine newcomers, eight of them Division I transfers.
The shooting identity
Last season Tulsa scored 125.1 points per 100 possessions, 6th of 365, built on volume shooting. It made 38.0% of its threes, 19th nationally. Its 78.1% at the line also ranked 14th.
The defense was ordinary. Tulsa ranked 182nd in points allowed per 100 possessions and blocked shots rarely, 313th in block rate. Against a smaller-program opponent that matters less than whether the new guards keep the offense humming.
What the exhibition showed
Tulsa's latest outing was a 93-85 exhibition loss to Oklahoma State on Oct. 23. Tulsa trailed 45-40 at halftime, and the Cowboys opened the second half on a 17-8 run. Kobi Williams led Tulsa with 19 points. Konkol was also encouraged by an earlier scrimmage against Kansas State.
No injuries have surfaced for Tulsa. Nothing has surfaced on Rogers State's availability. Justin Barkley is listed as its head coach, and the visitor's current roster is unconfirmed.
Key players
- Ade Popoola (Tulsa): Made 40.9% of 242 three-point attempts last season while starting all 38 games.
- Tyler Behrend (Tulsa): Posted a 124 offensive rating last season on 53.4% shooting from the field.
- Romad Dean (Tulsa): Shot 93.5% from the free-throw line last season in 16.0 minutes per game.
- Kobi Williams (Tulsa): Led Tulsa with 19 points in the 93-85 exhibition loss to Oklahoma State.
Numbers that matter
| Returning points | 47.6% | Less than half of last season's scoring is back, so the offense is being rebuilt. |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency last season | 6th | Tulsa's 125.1 points per 100 possessions set a high bar for the new roster. |
| 3-point % last season | 38.0% | Ranked 19th nationally; the departures took much of that shooting with them. |
| Block rate last season | 313th | Tulsa rarely protected the rim, a weakness worth watching once the competition stiffens. |
Rogers State vs Tulsa: quick answers
When is Rogers State vs Tulsa?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.