Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen prediction: Jordan Pennick carries a rebuilt Navy into Hampton's perimeter wall
Navy's breakout guard faces a Hampton defense that has smothered shooters, while the Pirates' own offense keeps missing at the rim.
Navy Midshipmen covered the closing spread (Hampton Pirates -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 136.5.
| Spread | Navy -1 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 136.5 |
- Expect a grinding, low-scoring game: Hampton defends well but cannot shoot, and Navy gives away too many possessions to pull clear.
- Jordan Pennick against Hampton's perimeter defense, which holds opponents to 23.5% from three.
- Navy is a 1.5-point favorite with a 138.5 total, both unmoved; Hampton's games have gone under twice in two lined tries.
Pennick steps into the lead
Navy won 26 games last season, then watched its two best players graduate. Hampton rebuilt almost from scratch. Saturday's homestand finale in Annapolis turns on whether the Midshipmen's newly minted scorer can solve a defense built to take his best shot away, and the market barely separates the teams.
That scorer is Jordan Pennick. He averaged 7.2 points as a role player last season. Through three games this year he is at 22.7, and he poured in a career-high 29 in Wednesday's comeback win over Penn. Navy has won three straight at home behind him.
Hampton's defense is the problem. Opponents are making just 23.5% of their threes against the Pirates, 21st in Division I. Navy takes 44.0% of its shots from deep, so Pennick and his fellow guards will need to win this game the hard way or find another route.
Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen line movement and odds
| Book | Pirates ML | Midshipmen ML | Pirates spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -125 | -102 | -1.5 (-110) | o136.5 (-115) |
| BetRivers | -108 | -115 | +0.5 (-108) | o136.5 (-117) |
| DraftKings | -112 | -108 | -1.5 (+105) | o136.5 (-110) |
| ESPN BET | -105 | -115 | +1.5 (-125) | o136.5 (-110) |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 | -1 (-105) | o136 (-110) |
| FanDuel | -102 | -118 | +0.5 (-104) | o136.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | -115 | +1.5 (-125) | o136.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | -110 | -110 | -1.5 (-110) | o135.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen
On the Kalshi moneyline: Hampton Pirates: 27% of bets, 56% of the money; Navy Midshipmen: 73% of bets, 44% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Navy Midshipmen -1.5: 53% of bets, 39% of the money; Hampton Pirates +1.5: 47% of bets, 61% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 137.5: 17% of bets, 14% of the money; Under 137.5: 83% of bets, 86% of the money.
Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen stats (this season)
| Stat | Hampton Pirates | Navy Midshipmen |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 102.0 (304th of 364) | 98.1 (350th of 364) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 102.4 (60th of 364) | 108.6 (245th of 364) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | -0.3 (189th of 364) | -10.5 (338th of 364) |
| Pace | 70.0 (201st of 364) | 69.9 (210th of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 38.5% (357th of 364) | 47.0% (302nd of 364) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 43.9% (71st of 364) | 50.9% (244th of 364) |
| Turnover rate | 16.7% (134th of 364) | 21.5% (316th of 364) |
| Offensive rebound % | 26.8% (299th of 364) | 36.8% (121st of 364) |
| 3-point % | 27.0% (318th of 364) | 35.0% (134th of 364) |
| Free throw rate | 41.4% (94th of 364) | 41.9% (87th of 364) |
Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen: quick answers
What was the final score of Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
Hampton Pirates 56, Navy Midshipmen 58 (final). Navy Midshipmen covered the closing spread (Hampton Pirates -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 136.5.
Who is favored in Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
Navy is favored by 1 points (Navy -1).
What is the over/under for Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
The total is 136.5 points.
When is Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
Where is Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen played?
Alumni Hall (Navy), Annapolis, MD.
Has the line moved for Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
Yes: Hampton Pirates opened +1.5 and is now -1.5, and the total moved from 138.5 to 136.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Hampton Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Hampton Pirates: 27% of bets, 56% of the money; Navy Midshipmen: 73% of bets, 44% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Navy Midshipmen -1.5: 53% of bets, 39% of the money; Hampton Pirates +1.5: 47% of bets, 61% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 137.5: 17% of bets, 14% of the money; Under 137.5: 83% of bets, 86% of the money.