Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers prediction: Austin Peay's ball hawks test Wichita State's hot-shooting backcourt
The Govs take the ball away as often as almost anyone in the country, and that may be their only route to staying close in Charles Koch Arena.
Wichita St Shockers covered the closing spread (Austin Peay Governors +12.5). The game went under the closing total of 156.5.
| Spread | Wichita State -12 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 155.5 |
- Wichita State should own the glass and the 3-point line; Austin Peay needs steals and extra possessions to keep the margin manageable.
- Zyree Collins against Wichita State's guards: he scores 20.5 points per game but shoots 35.7% from the field.
- Wichita State is -12.5, unchanged since our feed first saw it, and the Shockers are 0-2 against the spread.
Steals are the Govs' calling card
Wichita State came into the season as the American's preseason favorite, yet it has not covered a spread. Austin Peay arrives as a near-total rebuild with one skill already sharp: taking the ball away. That collision frames a Saturday night game that could look lopsided on the scoreboard early and still turn into a grind.
Players on Austin Peay's roster logged only 29.2% of last season's minutes, so last season's team numbers say little. What carried over is Corey Gipson's pressure. The Govs record steals on 19.4% of opponent possessions, third in Division I, and force turnovers at a 25.8% rate (23rd). Freshman Cam Ryans and Marshall transfer Shamarrie Hugie each average three steals in their bench minutes.
The caveat: two of Austin Peay's three games came against non-Division I teams, Lane College and Livingstone, so those rates will come down. Wichita State protects the ball reasonably well, with a 14.5% turnover rate (64th), and Austin Peay is even tidier at 12.3% (15th). The Shockers rarely force mistakes, ranking 348th in forced turnover rate. If the Govs win the turnover battle clearly, they collect the extra shots they need to offset a talent gap.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers line movement and odds
| Book | Governors ML | Shockers ML | Governors spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +550 | -1000 | +12.5 (-118) | o156.5 (-115) |
| BetRivers | +575 | -1000 | +13.5 (-121) | o157.5 (-107) |
| DraftKings | +600 | -900 | +12.5 (-118) | o156.5 (-110) |
| ESPN BET | +700 | -1200 | +12.5 (-120) | o157.5 (-110) |
| Fanatics | +575 | -850 | +12.5 (-115) | o156 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +640 | -1000 | +12.5 (-110) | o156.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +575 | -900 | +12.5 (+100) | o156.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | +600 | -900 | +12 (-110) | o156.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers
On the Kalshi moneyline: Austin Peay Governors: 57% of bets, 11% of the money; Wichita St Shockers: 43% of bets, 89% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Wichita St Shockers -12.5: 48% of bets, 20% of the money; Austin Peay Governors +12.5: 52% of bets, 80% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 155.5: 63% of bets, 15% of the money; Under 155.5: 38% of bets, 85% of the money.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers stats (this season)
| Stat | Austin Peay Governors | Wichita St Shockers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 106.1 (204th of 364) | 106.5 (189th of 364) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 103.5 (86th of 364) | 106.5 (165th of 364) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | 2.6 (127th of 364) | 0.0 (182nd of 364) |
| Pace | 51.7 (360th of 364) | 73.3 (88th of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 50.4% (231st of 364) | 59.6% (37th of 364) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 45.6% (107th of 364) | 43.1% (56th of 364) |
| Turnover rate | 12.3% (15th of 364) | 14.5% (64th of 364) |
| Offensive rebound % | 28.2% (278th of 364) | 35.2% (153rd of 364) |
| 3-point % | 31.1% (229th of 364) | 47.9% (3rd of 364) |
| Free throw rate | 40.1% (116th of 364) | 40.4% (110th of 364) |
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers: quick answers
What was the final score of Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
Austin Peay Governors 60, Wichita St Shockers 76 (final). Wichita St Shockers covered the closing spread (Austin Peay Governors +12.5). The game went under the closing total of 156.5.
Who is favored in Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
Wichita State is favored by 12 points (Wichita State -12).
What is the over/under for Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
The total is 155.5 points.
When is Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Where is Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers played?
Charles Koch Arena, Wichita, KS.
Has the line moved for Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
No: Austin Peay Governors has stayed at +12.5, and the total moved from 152.5 to 156.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Austin Peay Governors: 57% of bets, 11% of the money; Wichita St Shockers: 43% of bets, 89% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Wichita St Shockers -12.5: 48% of bets, 20% of the money; Austin Peay Governors +12.5: 52% of bets, 80% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 155.5: 63% of bets, 15% of the money; Under 155.5: 38% of bets, 85% of the money.