Miami Heat predictions and picks
Mako Bets writes a full preview of every Miami Heat game: the matchup, the players who decide it, injuries and the line.
Miami Heat this season
2-4 overall · 1-3 at home · 1-1 on the road · 2-4 against the spread · overs 3-3
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | vs Indiana Pacers | W 145-125 | -8.5 | covered | 236.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Atlanta Hawks | W 129-117 | +2.5 | covered | 243.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-26 | vs Dallas Mavericks | L 109-113 | -7.5 | did not cover | 240.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Charlotte Hornets | L 110-115 | -4.5 | did not cover | 227.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Detroit Pistons | L 111-128 | +2.5 | did not cover | 235.5 (over) |
Key stats
| Stat | Miami Heat |
|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency (pts per 100 poss) | 111.5 (12th of 30) |
| Defensive efficiency (pts allowed per 100 poss) | 114.5 (25th of 30) |
| Net efficiency (per 100 poss) | -3.0 (20th of 30) |
| Pace (possessions per game, estimated) | 106.1 (4th of 30) |
| Effective FG% (3s count 1.5x) | 54.5% (12th of 30) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 56.8% (27th of 30) |
| Turnover rate (per 100 poss) | 14.1% (5th of 30) |
| Offensive rebound % | 24.8% (24th of 30) |
| 3-point % | 34.1% (19th of 30) |
| Points in the paint per game | 54.3 (4th of 30) |
Key players
- Bam Adebayo (C): 20.1 pts, 10.0 reb, 3.2 ast a game (2025-26)
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (G): 13.5 pts, 2.6 reb, 1.4 ast a game (2025-26)
- Andrew Wiggins (F): 15.4 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.7 ast a game (2025-26)
- Davion Mitchell (G): 9.3 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.5 ast a game (2025-26)
- Pelle Larsson (G): 11.4 pts, 3.5 reb, 3.4 ast a game (2025-26)
- Bobby Portis (F): 13.7 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.6 ast a game (2025-26)
Earlier previews
- Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers prediction · Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · Los Angeles Lakers -2.5, total 236.5
Luka Doncic's second night takes aim at Miami's porous perimeter - Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers prediction · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · Miami Heat -8.5, total 237
Giannis chases a first Miami home win against a gutted Pacers roster - Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks prediction · Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Atlanta Hawks -2, total 242
Winless Heat bring Giannis and an open-three problem to Atlanta - Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks prediction · Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · Miami Heat -7.5, total 241
Giannis and the winless Heat face a Mavericks frontcourt in pieces - Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets prediction · Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · Miami Heat -4.5, total 227.5
Hornets' three-point barrage tests a Heat defense still in freefall - Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons prediction · Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · Detroit Pistons -1.5, total 235.5
Giannis and the remade Heat face Detroit's assault on the glass - Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction · Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · Miami Heat -1.5, total 240.5
Giannis debuts in Miami against a Timberwolves frontcourt missing Randle and Reid