St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth prediction: Depleted Mammoth bring a cold crease into Joel Hofer's matchup
Utah's goaltending is near the bottom of the league, and its scorers are disappearing on the second night of a back-to-back.
| Line | Utah Mammoth -124 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Utah should control the puck but is thin up front; St. Louis needs Hofer to steal a few chances and stay out of the box.
- The goalies: Hofer's .921 save percentage against Vejmelka, who has lost three straight outings, while Utah ranks 31st in team save percentage.
- Utah is a -124 favorite with a 6.5 total that hasn't moved; the Mammoth have gone 12-7 to the over this season.
Utah's attack is thinning out
The Mammoth outshoot people and still lose. Utah owns 53.5% of all shots in its games, 4th of 32, yet ranks 29th in goals allowed. Now the scoring that covered for those mistakes is being stripped away, and they bring a three-game skid into the first meeting of the season with St. Louis.
Logan Cooley, Utah's top goal scorer with 11, is listed as out with an upper-body injury on Thursday's injury report. Dylan Guenther went on injured reserve Wednesday and is expected to miss two to four weeks. Nick Schmaltz was hurt in Vegas, and he is listed as day-to-day, though Wednesday's reporting pointed to a longer absence. Treat his status as unsettled.
That puts the load on Clayton Keller, who leads the team with 25 points, and on Mikhail Sergachev from the back end. Kailer Yamamoto was activated from injured reserve and Daniil But was recalled from Tucson to fill gaps. Defensemen Nate Schmidt and John Marino remain on injured reserve.
Hofer against a cold crease
This is where the game tilts. Joel Hofer is the probable starter for St. Louis, though the Blues haven't confirmed it. He carries a .921 save percentage and a 2.33 goals-against average, and he made 30 saves in Tuesday's win over Detroit that snapped the Blues' three-game skid.
Utah played at Vegas on Wednesday with Sebastian Cossa in net, so Karel Vejmelka is the probable starter on the second night of the back-to-back. He has lost three straight outings and sits at .870. As a team, Utah ranks 31st in save percentage. A month of goaltending numbers is a small sample, but nothing in Utah's recent results suggests a turn.
The Blues don't need volume to test that. Jimmy Snuggerud has 10 goals on 23.8% shooting, including Tuesday's late deflection winner.
Utah's power play, Blues' discipline
Utah's best weapon is its power play, which converts 36.5% of its chances (power-play goals per opportunity), 2nd in the league. St. Louis counters by staying out of the box: the Blues rank 2nd in fewest times shorthanded and 8th in penalty kill.
The other direction looks friendlier for St. Louis. Utah's penalty kill sits 28th at 68.9%. The catch is that the Blues rarely get the chance, ranking 28th in power plays drawn. If St. Louis can earn even a couple of calls, that is its cleanest path to goals against a depleted lineup.
What the market sees
Utah is a -124 moneyline favorite at home, with St. Louis at +105, and the total has sat at 6.5 since the line first appeared. The market is pricing in Utah's shot edge more than its missing scorers.
Two records stand out. Utah is 5-14 on the puck line this season, a sign it rarely wins by two. And the Mammoth's games have gone 12-7 to the over, which fits a team that scores plenty and stops little, though Cooley's absence trims the scoring half of that equation.
St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth line movement and odds
| Book | Blues ML | Mammoth ML | Blues spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-225) | o6 (-110) |
| BetRivers | +104 | -124 | +1.5 (-265) | o6.5 (+105) |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-225) | o6.5 (+105) |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-250) | o6.5 (+115) |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 | +1.5 (-235) | o6.5 (+110) |
| FanDuel | -102 | -118 | +1.5 (-260) | o5.5 (-134) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -125 | +1.5 (-250) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Caesars | +110 | -130 | +1.5 (-230) | o6.5 (+104) |
Where the money is on St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth
On the Kalshi moneyline: St. Louis Blues: 37% of bets, 63% of the money; Utah Mammoth: 63% of bets, 37% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Utah Mammoth -1.5: 33% of bets, 19% of the money; St. Louis Blues +1.5: 67% of bets, 82% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 4.5: 100% of bets, 100% of the money; Under 4.5: 0% of bets, 0% of the money.
Proven Polymarket wallets. Moneyline: St Louis Blues (2 wallets, $505) vs Utah Mammoth (2 wallets, $3,779). Largest: Tattered-Screamer $3,240 on Utah Mammoth, Gracious-Junk $539 on Utah Mammoth, Barren-Hospital-Pilgrim $465 on St Louis Blues. Spread: St Louis Blues (1 wallet, $74). Largest: Medium-Electrocardiogram-Compassion $74 on St Louis Blues.
St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth stats (this season)
| Stat | St Louis Blues | Utah Mammoth |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-8-2 | 10-8-1 |
| Goals per game | 2.94 (20th of 32) | 3.47 (9th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.06 (15th of 32) | 3.58 (29th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | -0.11 (19th of 32) | -0.11 (18th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 27.4 (17th of 32) | 29.1 (7th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 28.9 (24th of 32) | 25.3 (5th of 32) |
| Shot share | 48.7% (23rd of 32) | 53.5% (4th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 10.7% (21st of 32) | 11.9% (12th of 32) |
| Team save % | 89.4% (9th of 32) | 85.8% (31st of 32) |
| Power play % | 22.0% (15th of 32) | 36.5% (2nd of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 84.8% (8th of 32) | 68.9% (28th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 49.2% (19th of 32) | 53.5% (7th of 32) |
Key players
- Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues): Owns a .921 save percentage and 2.33 goals-against average in 13 games this season.
- Jimmy Snuggerud (St. Louis Blues): Leads the Blues with 10 goals this season on 23.8% shooting.
- Robert Thomas (St. Louis Blues): Has 11 assists and 14 points in 18 games this season.
- Clayton Keller (Utah Mammoth): Leads Utah with 25 points this season, 20 of them assists.
- Mikhail Sergachev (Utah Mammoth): Logs 24.2 minutes a night and has 20 points this season.
- Karel Vejmelka (Utah Mammoth): Carries an .870 save percentage and 3.29 goals-against average this season.
Numbers that matter
| Utah team save % | 31st | Utah's goaltending ranks near the bottom of the league despite allowing few shots. |
|---|---|---|
| Hofer save % | 92.1 | The Blues' probable starter has been their steadiest player this season. |
| Utah power play | 36.5% | 2nd in the league, against a Blues team that ranks 2nd in fewest times shorthanded. |
| Utah penalty kill | 68.9% | 28th in the league, though St. Louis ranks 28th in power plays drawn. |
| Utah puck line record | 5-14 | The Mammoth rarely win by two, relevant with them at -1.5. |
St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth: quick answers
What is the over/under for St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth?
Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET.
Where is St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth played?
Delta Center, Salt Lake City.
Has the line moved for St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth?
No: St Louis Blues has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth?
On the Kalshi moneyline: St. Louis Blues: 37% of bets, 63% of the money; Utah Mammoth: 63% of bets, 37% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Utah Mammoth -1.5: 33% of bets, 19% of the money; St. Louis Blues +1.5: 67% of bets, 82% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 4.5: 100% of bets, 100% of the money; Under 4.5: 0% of bets, 0% of the money.
What are proven bettors on in St Louis Blues vs Utah Mammoth?
Proven Polymarket wallets, graded on 180 days of settled bets: Moneyline: St Louis Blues (2 wallets, $505) vs Utah Mammoth (2 wallets, $3,779). Largest: Tattered-Screamer $3,240 on Utah Mammoth, Gracious-Junk $539 on Utah Mammoth, Barren-Hospital-Pilgrim $465 on St Louis Blues. Spread: St Louis Blues (1 wallet, $74). Largest: Medium-Electrocardiogram-Compassion $74 on St Louis Blues. A sharp side is a question, not a bet; copying proven wallets late lost money in our test.