Oklahoma City Thunder predictions and picks
Mako Bets writes a full preview of every Oklahoma City Thunder game: the matchup, the players who decide it, injuries and the line.
Oklahoma City Thunder this season
4-2 overall · 3-0 at home · 1-2 on the road · 3-3 against the spread · overs 1-5
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | @ Houston Rockets | L 98-119 | +2.5 | did not cover | 219.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-28 | @ Dallas Mavericks | L 96-120 | -4.5 | did not cover | 227.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-26 | vs Phoenix Suns | W 125-114 | -8.5 | covered | 221.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA Clippers | W 108-101 | -16.5 | did not cover | 223.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Denver Nuggets | W 96-84 | -7.5 | covered | 236.5 (under) |
Key stats
| Stat | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency (pts per 100 poss) | 105.4 (24th of 30) |
| Defensive efficiency (pts allowed per 100 poss) | 105.9 (8th of 30) |
| Net efficiency (per 100 poss) | -0.5 (17th of 30) |
| Pace (possessions per game, estimated) | 101.1 (27th of 30) |
| Effective FG% (3s count 1.5x) | 49.4% (28th of 30) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 51.0% (6th of 30) |
| Turnover rate (per 100 poss) | 14.5% (8th of 30) |
| Offensive rebound % | 28.5% (10th of 30) |
| 3-point % | 30.9% (26th of 30) |
| Points in the paint per game | 48.3 (13th of 30) |
Key players
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (G): 31.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 6.6 ast a game (2025-26)
- Cason Wallace (G): 8.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.6 ast a game (2025-26)
- Chet Holmgren (C): 17.1 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.7 ast a game (2025-26)
- Ajay Mitchell (G): 13.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 3.6 ast a game (2025-26)
- Jaylin Williams (F): 7.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.4 ast a game (2025-26)
- Jared McCain (G): 8.3 pts, 2.0 reb, 1.3 ast a game (2025-26)
Injuries
- Thomas Sorber: Out, Knee
- Cason Wallace: Out, Shoulder
- Chet Holmgren: Out, Knee
- Jalen Williams: Out, Leg
- Alex Caruso: Out, Ankle
- Nikola Topic: Out, Back
Earlier previews
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers prediction · Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5, total 229.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a depleted Thunder test Cleveland's fast offense - Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets prediction · Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Houston Rockets -2.5, total 219.5
Thunder's injury pile-up arrives in Houston against a tired Rockets team - Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks prediction · Wed, Oct 28, 2026 · Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5, total 228
Short-handed Thunder bring an elite defense into Cooper Flagg's Dallas - Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns prediction · Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5, total 221.5
Without Jalen Williams, Thunder lean on the NBA's stingiest defense - Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers prediction · Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · Oklahoma City Thunder -16.5, total 224.5
Thunder's swarming guards face a Clippers team that can't hold the ball - Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction · Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · Oklahoma City Thunder -8, total 236.5
Jokic and a rebuilt Nuggets offense open against Oklahoma City's wall - Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs prediction · Tue, Oct 20, 2026 · Oklahoma City Thunder -1, total 231
Thunder open in San Antonio chasing payback for last spring's West final