NBA Road favorites: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points on the road. 8,136 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 4070-3936-130 (50.8%)
Straight up: 5329-2807 (65.5%)
Over/under: 4025-4020-91 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.41 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 2011-1939 (50.9%); 2018-2027: 2059-1997 (50.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: DET at CHA
- 2026-11-02: ATL at IND
- 2026-11-02: TOR at LAC
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 21-13 | 61.8% |
| 2026 | 243-264-2 | 47.9% |
| 2025 | 247-246-8 | 50.1% |
| 2024 | 238-218-11 | 52.2% |
| 2023 | 204-223-7 | 47.8% |
| 2022 | 247-215-10 | 53.5% |
| 2021 | 257-223-6 | 53.5% |
| 2020 | 169-168-10 | 50.1% |
| 2019 | 209-218-8 | 48.9% |
| 2018 | 224-209-11 | 51.7% |
| 2017 | 207-216-5 | 48.9% |
| 2016 | 216-219-9 | 49.7% |
| 2015 | 222-207-4 | 51.7% |
| 2014 | 217-204-7 | 51.5% |
| 2013 | 199-191-1 | 51.0% |
| 2012 | 166-161-7 | 50.8% |
| 2011 | 191-190-7 | 50.1% |
| 2010 | 202-175-5 | 53.6% |
| 2009 | 189-193-6 | 49.5% |
| 2008 | 202-183-6 | 52.5% |
By team
Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road favorites?
4070-3936-130 against the spread (50.8%) in 8,136 team-games since 2007-08, 5329-2807 straight up and 4025-4020-91 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 2011-1939 (50.9%); 2018-2027: 2059-1997 (50.8%).