NBA Road favorites: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points on the road. 365 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 190-170-5 (52.8%)
Straight up: 231-134 (63.3%)
Over/under: 170-187-8 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.51 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 75-73 (50.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2024 | 8-6-2 | 57.1% |
| 2023 | 8-13-1 | 38.1% |
| 2022 | 13-11-1 | 54.2% |
| 2021 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2020 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2018 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2016 | 12-7 | 63.2% |
| 2015 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2014 | 20-18 | 52.6% |
| 2013 | 24-20 | 54.5% |
| 2012 | 17-18 | 48.6% |
| 2011 | 21-14 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2009 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2008 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road favorites for the Miami Heat?
190-170-5 against the spread (52.8%) in 365 team-games since 2007-08, 231-134 straight up and 170-187-8 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 115-97 (54.2%); 2018-2027: 75-73 (50.7%).