NBA Road favorites: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points on the road. 340 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 151-183-6 (45.2%)
Straight up: 212-128 (62.4%)
Over/under: 176-161-3 (52.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.25 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 63-65 (49.2%); 2018-2027: 88-118 (42.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 12-15 | 44.4% |
| 2025 | 11-14 | 44.0% |
| 2024 | 13-19-1 | 40.6% |
| 2023 | 9-15 | 37.5% |
| 2022 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2021 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2020 | 7-11-1 | 38.9% |
| 2019 | 7-12 | 36.8% |
| 2018 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2017 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 7-3-1 | 70.0% |
| 2013 | 9-13 | 40.9% |
| 2012 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2011 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2010 | 8-14-1 | 36.4% |
| 2009 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2008 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road favorites for the Denver Nuggets?
151-183-6 against the spread (45.2%) in 340 team-games since 2007-08, 212-128 straight up and 176-161-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 63-65 (49.2%); 2018-2027: 88-118 (42.7%).