NBA Road favorites: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points on the road. 191 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 95-94-2 (50.3%)
Straight up: 123-68 (64.4%)
Over/under: 96-93-2 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.37 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2018: 29-38 (43.3%); 2019-2026: 66-56 (54.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11-14 | 44.0% |
| 2025 | 13-14 | 48.1% |
| 2024 | 14-9-1 | 60.9% |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2022 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2021 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 8-9-1 | 47.1% |
| 2017 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road favorites for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
95-94-2 against the spread (50.3%) in 191 team-games since 2007-08, 123-68 straight up and 96-93-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2018: 29-38 (43.3%); 2019-2026: 66-56 (54.1%).