NFL On a 3+ game win streak: ATS Record Since 1999
Hot teams. 2,095 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 1027-1022-46 (50.1%)
Straight up: 1267-823-5 (60.6%)
Over/under: 1026-1035-34 (49.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.37 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 510-498 (50.6%); 2013-2026: 517-524 (49.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: CIN vs ATL
- 2026-11-08: DEN at CAR
- 2026-11-08: DET at MIA
- 2026-11-09: BUF at MIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 47-51-1 | 48.0% |
| 2024 | 45-45-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 37-34 | 52.1% |
| 2022 | 42-41-3 | 50.6% |
| 2021 | 42-41 | 50.6% |
| 2020 | 42-42 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 36-37-2 | 49.3% |
| 2018 | 40-36-2 | 52.6% |
| 2017 | 33-35 | 48.5% |
| 2016 | 43-35-1 | 55.1% |
| 2015 | 39-39-4 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 28-38-2 | 42.4% |
| 2013 | 35-38-1 | 47.9% |
| 2012 | 32-42-3 | 43.2% |
| 2011 | 42-45 | 48.3% |
| 2010 | 30-31-1 | 49.2% |
| 2009 | 42-34-3 | 55.3% |
| 2008 | 33-36-1 | 47.8% |
| 2007 | 40-36 | 52.6% |
| 2006 | 32-35-3 | 47.8% |
| 2005 | 46-31-2 | 59.7% |
| 2004 | 37-39-4 | 48.7% |
| 2003 | 46-25 | 64.8% |
| 2002 | 26-38-2 | 40.6% |
| 2001 | 30-31-1 | 49.2% |
| 2000 | 40-35-2 | 53.3% |
| 1999 | 34-40-5 | 45.9% |
By team
Arizona Cardinals · Atlanta Falcons · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills · Carolina Panthers · Chicago Bears · Cincinnati Bengals · Dallas Cowboys · Denver Broncos · Detroit Lions · Green Bay Packers · Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Kansas City Chiefs · Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Chargers · Miami Dolphins · Minnesota Vikings · New England Patriots · New Orleans Saints · New York Giants · New York Jets · Philadelphia Eagles · Pittsburgh Steelers · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tennessee Titans · Washington Commanders
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL on a 3+ game win streak?
1027-1022-46 against the spread (50.1%) in 2,095 team-games since 1999, 1267-823-5 straight up and 1026-1035-34 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 510-498 (50.6%); 2013-2026: 517-524 (49.7%).