NFL On a 3+ game win streak: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Hot teams. 59 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-35 (40.7%)
Straight up: 32-27 (54.2%)
Over/under: 37-19-3 (66.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.15 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2016: 7-11 (38.9%); 2019-2026: 17-24 (41.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-09: BUF at MIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL on a 3+ game win streak for the Buffalo Bills?
24-35 against the spread (40.7%) in 59 team-games since 1999, 32-27 straight up and 37-19-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2016: 7-11 (38.9%); 2019-2026: 17-24 (41.5%).