NFL On a 3+ game win streak: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
Hot teams. 108 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 53-52-3 (50.5%)
Straight up: 77-31 (71.3%)
Over/under: 42-65-1 (39.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.63 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2015: 19-19 (50.0%); 2016-2026: 34-33 (50.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2023 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2022 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2021 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2020 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2018 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2015 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2004 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2001 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL on a 3+ game win streak for the Kansas City Chiefs?
53-52-3 against the spread (50.5%) in 108 team-games since 1999, 77-31 straight up and 42-65-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2015: 19-19 (50.0%); 2016-2026: 34-33 (50.7%).