NFL Road underdogs: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points on the road. 4,764 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 2398-2236-130 (51.7%)
Straight up: 1540-3216-8 (32.4%)
Over/under: 2331-2367-66 (49.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.14 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 1247-1162 (51.8%); 2013-2026: 1151-1074 (51.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-02: CHI at SEA
- 2026-11-08: CLE at NO
- 2026-11-08: NYJ at KC
- 2026-11-08: LV at SF
- 2026-11-08: ARI at SEA
- 2026-11-08: GB at NE
- 2026-11-08: TB at CHI
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36-33-3 | 52.2% |
| 2025 | 82-80-1 | 50.6% |
| 2024 | 77-87-3 | 47.0% |
| 2023 | 81-85-7 | 48.8% |
| 2022 | 91-77-6 | 54.2% |
| 2021 | 92-77-3 | 54.4% |
| 2020 | 86-71 | 54.8% |
| 2019 | 90-65-8 | 58.1% |
| 2018 | 93-76-7 | 55.0% |
| 2017 | 74-82-4 | 47.4% |
| 2016 | 86-91-4 | 48.6% |
| 2015 | 94-74-7 | 56.0% |
| 2014 | 94-84-4 | 52.8% |
| 2013 | 75-92-4 | 44.9% |
| 2012 | 91-79-2 | 53.5% |
| 2011 | 85-83-6 | 50.6% |
| 2010 | 91-85-1 | 51.7% |
| 2009 | 89-78-8 | 53.3% |
| 2008 | 97-84-3 | 53.6% |
| 2007 | 83-87-5 | 48.8% |
| 2006 | 100-79-5 | 55.9% |
| 2005 | 77-96-7 | 44.5% |
| 2004 | 92-84-4 | 52.3% |
| 2003 | 89-90-7 | 49.7% |
| 2002 | 92-79-3 | 53.8% |
| 2001 | 86-80-7 | 51.8% |
| 2000 | 91-79-7 | 53.5% |
| 1999 | 84-79-4 | 51.5% |
By team
Arizona Cardinals · Atlanta Falcons · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills · Carolina Panthers · Chicago Bears · Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Dallas Cowboys · Denver Broncos · Detroit Lions · Green Bay Packers · Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Kansas City Chiefs · Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Chargers · Las Vegas Raiders · Miami Dolphins · Minnesota Vikings · New England Patriots · New Orleans Saints · New York Giants · New York Jets · Philadelphia Eagles · Pittsburgh Steelers · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tennessee Titans · Washington Commanders
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road underdogs?
2398-2236-130 against the spread (51.7%) in 4,764 team-games since 1999, 1540-3216-8 straight up and 2331-2367-66 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 1247-1162 (51.8%); 2013-2026: 1151-1074 (51.7%).