NFL Road underdogs: New England Patriots: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points on the road. 97 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 56-38-3 (59.6%)
Straight up: 44-53 (45.4%)
Over/under: 54-43 (55.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.74 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 13 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 33-17 (66.0%); 2013-2026: 23-21 (52.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2005 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2002 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2001 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 1999 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road underdogs for the New England Patriots?
56-38-3 against the spread (59.6%) in 97 team-games since 1999, 44-53 straight up and 54-43 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 13 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 33-17 (66.0%); 2013-2026: 23-21 (52.3%).