NFL Road favorites: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points on the road. 2,501 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 1205-1227-69 (49.5%)
Straight up: 1609-885-7 (64.5%)
Over/under: 1219-1243-39 (49.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.03 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 572-577 (49.8%); 2013-2026: 633-650 (49.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: JAX at BAL
- 2026-11-08: DAL at IND
- 2026-11-08: DEN at CAR
- 2026-11-08: DET at MIA
- 2026-11-08: LA at WAS
- 2026-11-08: NYG at PHI
- 2026-11-08: HOU at LAC
- 2026-11-09: BUF at MIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 21-19-2 | 52.5% |
| 2025 | 54-60 | 47.4% |
| 2024 | 58-52-1 | 52.7% |
| 2023 | 52-47-7 | 52.5% |
| 2022 | 44-55-4 | 44.4% |
| 2021 | 53-55-1 | 49.1% |
| 2020 | 48-60 | 44.4% |
| 2019 | 51-45-2 | 53.1% |
| 2018 | 39-46-2 | 45.9% |
| 2017 | 47-47-4 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 42-37-1 | 53.2% |
| 2015 | 42-43-3 | 49.4% |
| 2014 | 37-41-2 | 47.4% |
| 2013 | 45-43-3 | 51.1% |
| 2012 | 46-44-3 | 51.1% |
| 2011 | 41-45-5 | 47.7% |
| 2010 | 41-42-4 | 49.4% |
| 2009 | 47-43 | 52.2% |
| 2008 | 44-33-3 | 57.1% |
| 2007 | 46-44 | 51.1% |
| 2006 | 33-46-3 | 41.8% |
| 2005 | 50-27-3 | 64.9% |
| 2004 | 44-36-2 | 55.0% |
| 2003 | 36-38-2 | 48.6% |
| 2002 | 36-52-2 | 40.9% |
| 2001 | 35-42-5 | 45.5% |
| 2000 | 37-39 | 48.7% |
| 1999 | 36-46-5 | 43.9% |
By team
Arizona Cardinals · Atlanta Falcons · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills · Carolina Panthers · Chicago Bears · Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Dallas Cowboys · Denver Broncos · Detroit Lions · Green Bay Packers · Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Kansas City Chiefs · Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Chargers · Las Vegas Raiders · Miami Dolphins · Minnesota Vikings · New England Patriots · New Orleans Saints · New York Giants · New York Jets · Philadelphia Eagles · Pittsburgh Steelers · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tennessee Titans · Washington Commanders
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road favorites?
1205-1227-69 against the spread (49.5%) in 2,501 team-games since 1999, 1609-885-7 straight up and 1219-1243-39 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 572-577 (49.8%); 2013-2026: 633-650 (49.3%).