NFL Road favorites: New England Patriots: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points on the road. 130 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 69-58-3 (54.3%)
Straight up: 94-36 (72.3%)
Over/under: 59-70-1 (45.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.15 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 36-24 (60.0%); 2013-2026: 33-34 (49.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2018 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2017 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2016 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2015 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2012 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2007 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2006 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2004 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road favorites for the New England Patriots?
69-58-3 against the spread (54.3%) in 130 team-games since 1999, 94-36 straight up and 59-70-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 36-24 (60.0%); 2013-2026: 33-34 (49.3%).