NFL Road favorites: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points on the road. 68 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 35-30-3 (53.8%)
Straight up: 45-23 (66.2%)
Over/under: 33-33-2 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.2 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 11-7 (61.1%); 2014-2026: 24-23 (51.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-09: BUF at MIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 1999 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road favorites for the Buffalo Bills?
35-30-3 against the spread (53.8%) in 68 team-games since 1999, 45-23 straight up and 33-33-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 11-7 (61.1%); 2014-2026: 24-23 (51.1%).