NBA First 10 games of the season: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Before the numbers settle. 5,884 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 2892-2898-94 (49.9%)
Straight up: 2920-2964 (49.6%)
Over/under: 2819-2994-71 (48.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.02 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 1472-1483 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 1420-1415 (50.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: CLE vs OKC
- 2026-11-02: OKC at CLE
- 2026-11-02: CHA vs DET
- 2026-11-02: DET at CHA
- 2026-11-02: IND vs ATL
- 2026-11-02: ATL at IND
- 2026-11-02: NY vs BKN
- 2026-11-02: BKN at NY
- 2026-11-02: ORL vs WSH
- 2026-11-02: WSH at ORL
- 2026-11-02: PHI vs CHI
- 2026-11-02: CHI at PHI
- 2026-11-02: DAL vs SAC
- 2026-11-02: SAC at DAL
- 2026-11-02: MEM vs NO
- 2026-11-02: NO at MEM
- 2026-11-02: MIN vs MIL
- 2026-11-02: MIL at MIN
- 2026-11-02: HOU vs BOS
- 2026-11-02: BOS at HOU
- 2026-11-02: SA vs UTAH
- 2026-11-02: UTAH at SA
- 2026-11-02: DEN vs POR
- 2026-11-02: POR at DEN
- 2026-11-02: GS vs PHX
- 2026-11-02: PHX at GS
- 2026-11-02: LAC vs TOR
- 2026-11-02: TOR at LAC
- 2026-11-02: LAL vs MIA
- 2026-11-02: MIA at LAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 92-92 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 146-148-6 | 49.7% |
| 2025 | 147-149-4 | 49.7% |
| 2024 | 147-144-9 | 50.5% |
| 2023 | 145-149-6 | 49.3% |
| 2022 | 152-146-2 | 51.0% |
| 2021 | 151-149 | 50.3% |
| 2020 | 146-145-9 | 50.2% |
| 2019 | 150-148-2 | 50.3% |
| 2018 | 144-145-11 | 49.8% |
| 2017 | 147-151-2 | 49.3% |
| 2016 | 152-146-2 | 51.0% |
| 2015 | 144-150-6 | 49.0% |
| 2014 | 144-149-7 | 49.1% |
| 2013 | 143-149-8 | 49.0% |
| 2012 | 148-150-2 | 49.7% |
| 2011 | 147-143-10 | 50.7% |
| 2010 | 150-148-2 | 50.3% |
| 2009 | 147-151-2 | 49.3% |
| 2008 | 150-146-4 | 50.7% |
By team
Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first 10 games of the season?
2892-2898-94 against the spread (49.9%) in 5,884 team-games since 2007-08, 2920-2964 straight up and 2819-2994-71 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 1472-1483 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 1420-1415 (50.1%).