NBA First 10 games of the season: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Before the numbers settle. 195 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 100-93-2 (51.8%)
Straight up: 112-83 (57.4%)
Over/under: 99-93-3 (51.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.19 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 55-44 (55.6%); 2018-2027: 45-49 (47.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: DEN vs POR
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2026 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2025 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2024 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2018 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2017 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2014 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 8-2 | 80.0% |
| 2011 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2010 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2008 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA first 10 games of the season for the Denver Nuggets?
100-93-2 against the spread (51.8%) in 195 team-games since 2007-08, 112-83 straight up and 99-93-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 55-44 (55.6%); 2018-2027: 45-49 (47.9%).