NBA Road underdogs: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams getting points on the road. 15,581 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 7700-7629-252 (50.2%)
Straight up: 4586-10994-1 (29.4%)
Over/under: 7653-7720-208 (49.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.35 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 4308-4260 (50.3%); 2018-2027: 3392-3369 (50.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
202730-2851.7%
2026352-360-249.4%
2025355-355-1250.0%
2024379-369-950.7%
2023381-394-1449.2%
2022414-405-1350.5%
2021330-337-849.5%
2020303-287-1551.4%
2019422-428-849.6%
2018426-406-2351.2%
2017423-419-1350.2%
2016406-440-948.0%
2015436-406-2251.8%
2014449-406-1752.5%
2013450-450-1350.0%
2012356-369-549.1%
2011459-417-2252.4%
2010449-445-2250.2%
2009457-443-1250.8%
2008423-465-1347.6%

By team

Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA road underdogs?

7700-7629-252 against the spread (50.2%) in 15,581 team-games since 2007-08, 4586-10994-1 straight up and 7653-7720-208 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 4308-4260 (50.3%); 2018-2027: 3392-3369 (50.2%).

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