NBA Road underdogs: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points on the road. 447 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 238-199-10 (54.5%)
Straight up: 153-294 (34.2%)
Over/under: 227-212-8 (51.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.04 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 154-126 (55.0%); 2018-2027: 84-73 (53.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 12-2 | 85.7% |
| 2025 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2024 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 54.2% |
| 2021 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2019 | 12-14 | 46.2% |
| 2018 | 11-12-2 | 47.8% |
| 2017 | 21-11 | 65.6% |
| 2016 | 23-13-1 | 63.9% |
| 2015 | 16-18-2 | 47.1% |
| 2014 | 14-16 | 46.7% |
| 2013 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
| 2012 | 16-8 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 19-13-1 | 59.4% |
| 2010 | 8-9-4 | 47.1% |
| 2009 | 15-12 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 10-16 | 38.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road underdogs for the Denver Nuggets?
238-199-10 against the spread (54.5%) in 447 team-games since 2007-08, 153-294 straight up and 227-212-8 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 154-126 (55.0%); 2018-2027: 84-73 (53.5%).