NBA Road underdogs: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points on the road. 457 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 234-214-9 (52.2%)
Straight up: 161-296 (35.2%)
Over/under: 205-246-6 (45.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.84 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 117-119 (49.6%); 2018-2027: 117-95 (55.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: MIA at LAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 15-13-1 | 53.6% |
| 2025 | 9-13-1 | 40.9% |
| 2024 | 16-9 | 64.0% |
| 2023 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2022 | 16-8 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2020 | 6-10-1 | 37.5% |
| 2019 | 19-10 | 65.5% |
| 2018 | 20-12-2 | 62.5% |
| 2017 | 23-10 | 69.7% |
| 2016 | 10-18 | 35.7% |
| 2015 | 14-16-1 | 46.7% |
| 2014 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2013 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2012 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 7-7-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 17-17 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 17-19 | 47.2% |
| 2008 | 17-18-1 | 48.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA road underdogs for the Miami Heat?
234-214-9 against the spread (52.2%) in 457 team-games since 2007-08, 161-296 straight up and 205-246-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 117-119 (49.6%); 2018-2027: 117-95 (55.2%).