NBA 5th+ game of a road trip: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Deep into a trip. 1,233 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 627-583-23 (51.8%)
Straight up: 538-695 (43.6%)
Over/under: 622-593-18 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.38 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 327-298 (52.3%); 2018-2026: 300-285 (51.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-32 | 50.8% |
| 2025 | 35-40-1 | 46.7% |
| 2024 | 32-43-1 | 42.7% |
| 2023 | 36-41-2 | 46.8% |
| 2022 | 45-30-4 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 45-31 | 59.2% |
| 2020 | 16-17 | 48.5% |
| 2019 | 28-28 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 30-23-1 | 56.6% |
| 2017 | 44-32-2 | 57.9% |
| 2016 | 30-29-4 | 50.8% |
| 2015 | 27-30 | 47.4% |
| 2014 | 42-20-2 | 67.7% |
| 2013 | 31-34-1 | 47.7% |
| 2012 | 38-31-1 | 55.1% |
| 2011 | 30-33-1 | 47.6% |
| 2010 | 23-30-1 | 43.4% |
| 2009 | 30-26-1 | 53.6% |
| 2008 | 32-33-1 | 49.2% |
By team
Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Denver Nuggets · Golden State Warriors · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Miami Heat · New York Knicks · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA 5th+ game of a road trip?
627-583-23 against the spread (51.8%) in 1,233 team-games since 2007-08, 538-695 straight up and 622-593-18 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 327-298 (52.3%); 2018-2026: 300-285 (51.3%).