NBA 5th+ game of a road trip: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Deep into a trip. 45 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 23-19-3 (54.8%)
Straight up: 22-23 (48.9%)
Over/under: 22-21-2 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.68 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 13-9 (59.1%); 2018-2026: 10-10 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20262-166.7%
20250-10.0%
20240-20.0%
20231-0100.0%
20223-260.0%
20210-20.0%
20201-0100.0%
20190-10.0%
20183-1-175.0%
20173-175.0%
20160-1-10.0%
20151-0100.0%
20142-0-1100.0%
20131-0100.0%
20123-175.0%
20110-10.0%
20100-30.0%
20092-250.0%
20081-0100.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA 5th+ game of a road trip for the Denver Nuggets?

23-19-3 against the spread (54.8%) in 45 team-games since 2007-08, 22-23 straight up and 22-21-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 13-9 (59.1%); 2018-2026: 10-10 (50.0%).

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