NBA 5th+ game of a road trip: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Deep into a trip. 58 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 40-18 (69.0%)
Straight up: 36-22 (62.1%)
Over/under: 27-31 (46.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 4.08 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 238 times. 2008-2017: 21-9 (70.0%); 2018-2026: 19-9 (67.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2013 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA 5th+ game of a road trip for the Miami Heat?
40-18 against the spread (69.0%) in 58 team-games since 2007-08, 36-22 straight up and 27-31 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 238 times.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 21-9 (70.0%); 2018-2026: 19-9 (67.9%).