NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Tennessee Titans: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 51 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 21-24-6 (46.7%)
Straight up: 28-23 (54.9%)
Over/under: 22-27-2 (44.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -3.16 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 12-7 (63.2%); 2014-2026: 9-17 (34.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-4-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Tennessee Titans?
21-24-6 against the spread (46.7%) in 51 team-games since 1999, 28-23 straight up and 22-27-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 12-7 (63.2%); 2014-2026: 9-17 (34.6%).