NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Seattle Seahawks: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 43 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 21-17-5 (55.3%)
Straight up: 30-13 (69.8%)
Over/under: 20-21-2 (48.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.31 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 8-7 (53.3%); 2012-2026: 13-10 (56.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-02: SEA vs CHI
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Seattle Seahawks?
21-17-5 against the spread (55.3%) in 43 team-games since 1999, 30-13 straight up and 20-21-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 8-7 (53.3%); 2012-2026: 13-10 (56.5%).