NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Philadelphia Eagles: ATS Record Since 1999

Laying a field goal or less at home. 45 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 26-18-1 (59.1%)
Straight up: 28-17 (62.2%)
Over/under: 20-23-2 (46.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.42 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2012: 11-12 (47.8%); 2013-2025: 15-6 (71.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20251-150.0%
20241-0100.0%
20232-0100.0%
20222-0100.0%
20211-0100.0%
20200-10.0%
20190-10.0%
20182-0100.0%
20162-0100.0%
20151-0100.0%
20141-0100.0%
20132-340.0%
20121-233.3%
20112-0100.0%
20101-150.0%
20090-10.0%
20082-166.7%
20070-20.0%
20060-10.0%
20050-10.0%
20041-0100.0%
20032-166.7%
20021-0100.0%
20010-10.0%
20001-1-150.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Philadelphia Eagles?

26-18-1 against the spread (59.1%) in 45 team-games since 1999, 28-17 straight up and 20-23-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2000-2012: 11-12 (47.8%); 2013-2025: 15-6 (71.4%).

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